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Vulnerable Newcomers Stray from Democrats’ Party Line

Heath Shuler, North Carolina’s 11th District (West — Asheville)
– Party Unity Score: 82.9 percent (4th lowest)
– 2006 result: Shuler 54%, Rep. Charles H. Taylor 46%
– 2004 President: Bush 57%, Kerry 43%
Jason Altmire, Pennsylvania’s 4th District (West — Pittsburgh suburbs, exurbs)
– Party Unity Score: 83.3 percent (6th lowest)
– 2006 result: Altmire 52%, Rep. Melissa A. Hart 48%
– 2004 President: Bush 54%, Kerry 45%
Christopher Carney, Pennsylvania’s 10th District (Northeast — Central Susquehanna Valley)
– Party Unity Score: 84.3 percent (8th lowest)
– 2006 result: Carney 53%, Rep. Don Sherwood 47%
– 2004 President: Bush 60%, Kerry 40%
Joe Donnelly, Indiana’s 2nd District (North Central — South Bend, parts of Elkhart and Kokomo)
– Party Unity Score: 84.3 percent (9th lowest)
– 2006 result: Donnelly 54%, Rep. Chris Chocola 46%
– 2004 President: Bush 56%, Kerry 43%
Brad Ellsworth, Indiana’s 8th District (West — Evansville, Terre Haute)
– 2007 party Unity Score: 84.5 percent (10th lowest)
– 2006 result: Ellsworth 61%, Rep. John Hostettler 39%
– 2004 President: Bush 62%, Kerry 38%
Zack Space, Ohio’s 18th District (East — Zanesville, Chillicothe)
– Party Unity Score: 86.6 percent (11th lowest)
– 2006 result: Space 62%, Republican Joy Padgett 38%
– 2004 President: Bush 57%, Kerry 42%
Baron Hill, Indiana’s 9th District (Southeast — Bloomington, New Albany)
– Party Unity Score: 88.4 percent (13th lowest)
– 2006 result: Hill 50%, Rep. Mike Sodrel 45%
– 2004 President: Bush 59%, Kerry 40%
Tim Mahoney, Florida’s 16th District (South central — Port St. Lucie, parts of Port Charlotte and Wellington)
– Party Unity Score: 89.2 percent (16th lowest)
– 2006 result: Mahoney 50%, Republican Joe Negron 48%
– 2004 President: Bush 55%, Kerry 45%
Harry E. Mitchell, Arizona’s 5th District (Scottsdale; Tempe; part of Phoenix and Mesa)
Party Unity Score: 89.3 percent (17th lowest)
– 2006 result: Mitchell 50%, Rep. J.D. Hayworth 46%
– 2004 President: Bush 54%, Kerry 45%
Mitchell’s
Patrick Murphy, Pennsylvania’s 8th District (Northern Philadelphia suburbs — Bucks County)
– Party Unity Score: 89.6 percent (18th lowest)
– 2006 result: Murphy 50.3%, Rep. Michael G. Fitzpatrick 49.7%
– 2004 President: Kerry 51%, Bush 48%
Nick Lampson, Texas’ 22nd District (Southeast Houston and southern suburbs — Sugar Land, Pearland, part of Pasadena)
– Party Unity Score: 90.2 percent (21st lowest)
– 2006 result: Lampson 52%, Republican Shelley Sekula-Gibbs 42%
– 2004 President: Bush 64%, Kerry 35%
Gabrielle Giffords, Arizona’s 8th District (Southeast — part of Tucson and northern suburbs)
– Party Unity Score: 90.8 percent (25th lowest)
– 2006 result: Giffords 54%, Republican Randy Graf 42%
– 2004 President: Bush 53%, Kerry 46%

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