After three straight cycles of close contests, Rep. Jim Gerlach (R) is in an unprecedented position to easily hold on to his southeastern Pennsylvania seat, according to a poll released by his campaign last week.
The Public Opinion Strategies survey showed Gerlach defeating his challenger, businessman Bob Roggio (D), 56 percent to 30 percent. The poll questioned 400 likely voters May 20-21 and had a margin of error of 4.9 points.
The margin of win is comparatively large for Gerlach, who defeated attorney Lois Murphy with 51 percent of the vote in 2006 and 2004. Democrats searched for a top-tier contender to face Gerlach in the district that voted for Democratic presidential candidates in 2000 and 2004, but settled on Roggio after some better-known Democrats declined to run.