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Nathan L. Gonzales

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President Donald Trump, flanked by Speaker Mike Johnson and House Republican Conference Chair Lisa McClain, speaks to reporters at the Capitol in May.

Trump continues to play kingmaker in Republican primaries

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted January 20, 2026 at 4:10pm
Former Sen. Sherrod Brown is a top recruit for Democrats in Ohio, but the party still faces a steep climb to win the Senate majority, Gonzales writes.

Senate Democrats still have difficult path to majority

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted January 14, 2026 at 3:42pm
President Donald Trump's approval rating is underwater, as are people's satisfaction with the direction of the country, according to polling averages per the last year. The Political Theater podcast explores which numbers are key to understanding the emerging 2026 campaign's dynamics.

The good, the bad and the meh: What 2026 economic and polling numbers we follow

By Jason Dick and Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted January 8, 2026 at 12:20pm
Speaker Mike Johnson and House Majority Leader Steve Scalise are seen during a news conference in the Capitol Visitor Center on Wednesday. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call)

Could House control change party hands before November?

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted January 7, 2026 at 2:40pm
Speaker Mike Johnson, pictured during a news conference in the Capitol Visitor Center on Tuesday, has spoken about Republicans defying historical midterm trends.

The 2026 midterms are at a crossroads

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted December 17, 2025 at 5:35pm
Ohio Rep. Emilia Sykes saw her district become more Democratic under the state's new congressional map. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call file photo)

Good news for House Democrats in latest round of race rating changes

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted December 9, 2025 at 4:09pm
House Democrats, led by Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, don’t need a wave election to win the majority in 2026, Gonzales writes.

It’s beginning to look a lot like … a traditional midterm election

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted December 3, 2025 at 2:13pm
The Capitol dome is illuminated as the House of Representatives returned to Washington to vote to reopen the government Nov. 12. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call)

The re-re-redistricting chronicles

By Jason Dick and Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted November 20, 2025 at 6:30pm
The seats of Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks of Iowa, left, and Juan Ciscomani of Arizona could be among several at the core of the House battleground next year, Gonzales writes.

Is the House battleground going back to the future?

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted November 19, 2025 at 3:43pm
House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, left, and House Democratic Caucus Chair Pete Aguilar are seen after a rally with fellow Democrats on Wednesday on the Capitol steps. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call)

Democrats weathering redistricting storm with majority in sight

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted November 12, 2025 at 6:04pm
Virginia Gov.-elect Abigail Spanberger takes the stage during her election night event in Richmond on Tuesday.

12 things I think I think after Tuesday’s elections

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted November 5, 2025 at 1:24pm
Virginia's statewide Democratic ticket of, from left, Jay Jones, Abigail Spanberger and Ghazala Hashmi march at a Labor Day parade in Buena Vista, Va., on Sept. 1, weeks before Jones' texting scandal rocked the election. (Win McNamee/Getty Images)

Is there such a thing as reverse coattails?

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted October 29, 2025 at 11:34am
Former New Hamsphire Sen. John E. Sununu is running for his state’s open Senate seat.

Rating change: Sununu’s entry boosts Republican chances in New Hampshire

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted October 22, 2025 at 1:15pm
Texas Sen. John Cornyn is seeking a fifth term in 2026. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call file photo)

Why Cornyn is still at risk of losing in Texas

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted October 20, 2025 at 4:22pm
Members of the National Guard patrol a Washington, D.C., street on Sept. 11. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call)

Are we at the beginning of the next civil war?

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted October 8, 2025 at 4:29pm
With his run for governor, Republican Rep. David Schweikert is leaving behind a competitive House seat.

Rating change: Arizona’s open 1st District shifts to Toss-up

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted October 1, 2025 at 2:24pm, Updated at 7:08pm
Democratic Rep. Marcy Kaptur represents a meme-worthy Ohio district that backed Donald Trump by 6.7 points last year.

When a meme meets the midterms: 6-7 politics edition

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted September 23, 2025 at 2:23pm
South Carolina Rep. Nancy Mace is among several House members running for governor next year. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call)

Running for governor continues to hold appeal on Capitol Hill

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted September 17, 2025 at 4:50pm
Mississippi Rep. Michael Guest’s district is one of 14 House seats that saw no partisan shift between 2022 and 2024, according to Inside Elections’ Baseline metric.

The 14 House districts that didn’t budge from 2022 to 2024

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted September 10, 2025 at 3:09pm
West Virginia Rep. Carol Miller's district saw the biggest Baseline shift in Republicans' favor from 2022 to 2024. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call file photo)

The 25 House districts that shifted the most from 2022 to 2024

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted September 4, 2025 at 5:00am
Rep. Thomas Massie has a discharge petition and he’s not afraid to use it.

Discharge petition: Congressional procedure or great band name?

By Jason Dick and Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted September 3, 2025 at 6:02pm
Rep. Juan Ciscomani, R-Ariz., speaks to a reporter in National Statuary Hall before President Donald Trump’s address to a joint session of Congress on March 4, 2025. Ciscomani's district is one of the most evenly-divided in the nation.

The 10 most evenly divided districts in the country

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted August 27, 2025 at 2:28pm
Protesters participate in a Free D.C. press conference and rally near the White House in Washington on Monday, Aug. 11.

Trump’s DC crime rhetoric doesn’t match day-to-day reality

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted August 20, 2025 at 4:06pm
Sen. Sherrod Brown, D-Ohio, attends a rally with the Communications Workers of America Local 4370 in Brooklyn Heights, Ohio, on Oct. 26, 2024.

Ohio Senate: Brown decision shifts race out of Solid Republican

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted August 12, 2025 at 3:11pm
Georgia Sen. Jon Ossoff’s bid for reelection is rated a Toss-up by Inside Elections.

Three Toss-up races headline new Senate ratings for 2026

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted July 25, 2025 at 12:25pm
President Donald Trump holds up the “GENIUS Act” alongside Speaker Mike Johnson and other congressional Republicans after signing the bill into law during a ceremony in the East Room of the White House on July 18.

Six months into Trump 2.0, GOP exudes ‘extreme confidence’

By Jessica Wehrman and Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted July 22, 2025 at 4:21pm
Speaker Mike Johnson, seen here at a July 9 event in the Capitol, posted a record fundraising haul for the second quarter.

Breaking news: Speakers raise a lot of money

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted July 16, 2025 at 2:58pm
Nebraska Rep. Don Bacon, pictured here at a Congressional Gold Medal ceremony at the Capitol Visitor Center on June 26, is not seeking reelection next year.

House retirements so far are at a historical low

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted July 9, 2025 at 3:19pm
North Carolina's Thom Tillis is the latest senator to decide against a reelection run next year.

Seven and counting? Tally of open Senate seats continues to climb

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted July 1, 2025 at 1:22pm
Iowa Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks lost three elections for the House before finally winning in 2020.

When losing a race doesn’t mean you’ll lose again

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted June 26, 2025 at 5:30am
Elections analyst Nathan L. Gonzales' journey at Roll Call began in 2001. (CQ Roll Call file photo)

Amid change, Roll Call endures

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted June 18, 2025 at 6:15am
Former Seattle City Councilmember Kshama Sawant is running for Congress as an independent.

Meet 11 House candidates — or potential ones — who don’t fit the mold

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted June 11, 2025 at 4:02pm
Illinois Rep. Jan Schakowsky holds a picture of a constituent during a House markup in May.

Time and voters will determine who is right in current Medicaid fight

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted June 4, 2025 at 6:46pm
The eight most recent members of Congress to die in office have all been Democrats, Gonzales writes.

Nothing is certain except death and politics 

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted May 28, 2025 at 5:25pm
House Republicans, led by Speaker Mike Johnson, face some daunting historical trends in next year's midterm elections, Gonzales writes.

House Republicans need to break some streaks to hold their majority in 2026

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted May 19, 2025 at 1:51pm
Rep. Raul Ruiz, D-Calif., seen here last month in Washington, is one of the members of Congress who is not considered vulnerable in the 2026 election cycle, but could find himself in a tough race depending on circumstances.

Call it the Most Not Invulnerable List

By Jason Dick and Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted May 13, 2025 at 5:13pm
President Donald Trump takes the oath of office in the Capitol on Jan. 20. (AP Photo/Morry Gash, Pool)

Trump is running for reelection (right now)

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted May 12, 2025 at 4:13pm
Senate Democrats, led by Charles E. Schumer, seen in the Capitol on Tuesday, have a shot at winning the majority next year, but a lot would need to go right for them, Gonzales writes. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call)

Senate Democrats need to break some streaks to win the majority

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted May 7, 2025 at 6:24pm
Michigan Rep. Haley Stevens is among several female Senate candidates facing other women in Democratic primaries.

2026 is shaping up as a ‘Year of the Woman’ for Democratic primaries

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted April 30, 2025 at 5:30pm
Age limits for elected officials doesn't seem so far-fetched when you consider that the Constitution already imposes age minimums on them, Gonzales writes.

It’s time for age limits for members of Congress

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted April 22, 2025 at 5:14pm
Republicans are hoping Georgia Gov. Brian Kemp runs for Senate next year. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call file photo)

Senate Republicans rely on different type of candidate to hold majority in 2026

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted April 15, 2025 at 1:53pm
Republicans can't expect to maintain control of Washington without strong turnout from supporters of President Donald Trump, Gonzales writes. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call file photo)

Trump’s tariff policies complicate Republicans’ turnout dilemma

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted April 9, 2025 at 11:49am, Updated at 2:51pm
Susan Crawford, flanked by Wisconsin Supreme Court justices, celebrates her win for an open seat on the high court in Madison on Tuesday. (Scott Olson/Getty Images)

Elections in Florida and Wisconsin confirm changed political environment

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted April 2, 2025 at 2:21pm
Speaker Mike Johnson crosses paths with New York Rep. Dan Goldman, right, in the Capitol Visitor Center on March 11. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call)

Republicans’ fragile majority and Democrats’ fragile image

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted March 18, 2025 at 5:52pm, Updated at 6:49pm
Republican Rep. Gabe Evans faces a Toss-up race in Colorado's 8th District, according to Inside Elections' initial race ratings. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call)

Initial 2026 House race ratings show more Republicans in Toss-up seats

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted March 10, 2025 at 4:02pm
Rep. Melanie Stansbury holds a sign reading “This is not normal” as President Donald Trump enters the House chamber on Tuesday night to deliver his address to a joint session of Congress.

Protest, retreat, hide? Congressional behavior, 2025-style

By Jason Dick and Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted March 6, 2025 at 4:05pm
Michigan Sen. Elissa Slotkin, here at a hearing in January, was first elected to Congress in 2018. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call file photo)

Slotkin leads return of the national security women for Democrats

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted March 3, 2025 at 5:53pm
President Donald Trump and Elon Musk speak with reporters inside the Oval Office on Feb 11.

Why words matter in political fights

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted February 19, 2025 at 3:21pm
New York Rep. Mike Lawler, here at a campaign rally in Congers in October, is weighing a bid for governor. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call file photo)

House members running for governor could complicate fight for majority

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted February 12, 2025 at 5:57pm
President Donald Trump, here on the South Lawn of the White House in January, has floated the idea of seeking a third term in office. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call)

Why Trump will (probably) run again for president in 2028

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted February 5, 2025 at 6:27pm
A helicopter flies near the crash site of the American Airlines plane on the Potomac River after the plane crashed on approach to Reagan National Airport on Wednesday evening.

Instability as norm. Or test

By Jason Dick and Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted January 30, 2025 at 4:59pm
Sen. Gary Peters, D-Mich., is retiring next year. History suggests more will join him.

Who else is going to retire from the Senate?

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted January 29, 2025 at 10:51am, Updated at 6:03pm
Democratic Reps. Don Davis, left, and Jared Golden, here in the Cannon House Office Building tunnel in April 2024, represent districts won by Donald Trump. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call)

Democrats who won in Trump districts brace for two years in the spotlight

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted January 22, 2025 at 6:26pm
Two appointed senators, Roger Wicker, R-Miss., left, and Roland Burris, D-Ill., walk through Statuary Hall before President Barack Obama's address to a joint session of Congress on Feb. 24, 2009. Burris did not seek election following his appointment. Wicker won election and has continued to climb the ranks in the chamber.

Appointed senators: The winners, seat-warmers, losers and weirdos

By Jason Dick and Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted January 15, 2025 at 8:29pm
Georgia Sen. Jon Ossoff, here at a Senate Judiciary hearing in September, is among five vulnerable senators for 2026, according to Inside Elections' initial battleground map.

The smallest initial Senate battleground ever?

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted January 14, 2025 at 4:09pm
Ohio’s Sherrod Brown, right, and Montana’s Jon Tester, pictured here during a hearing in 2022, lost reelection last year despite having strong personal brands in their states.

How the decline of personal political brands hurts Senate Democrats

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted January 8, 2025 at 4:33pm
Speaker Mike Johnson, R-La., has a thin margin of error now and in the coming 119th Congress.

The top political stories, of next year

By Jason Dick and Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted December 19, 2024 at 10:58am
From left, former Reps. Kai Kahele of Hawaii and Jerry McNerney and Laura Richardson of California were elected to state office this year.

More former members of Congress win election for lower office this year

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted December 18, 2024 at 4:32pm
North Carolina Gov. Roy Cooper, here during the 2024 Democratic National Convention in Chicago in August, is a potential Senate candidate in 2026.

Don’t count out Roy Cooper in 2026

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted December 10, 2024 at 3:43pm
Vice President Kamala Harris exits the stage at Howard University in Washington on Nov. 6 after conceding the presidential race to Donald Trump. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call file photo)

Kamala Harris lost, but how weak of a candidate was she?

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted December 5, 2024 at 5:00am
Clockwise from top: Linda McMahon, Pete Hegseth, Mehmet Oz, Doug Collins, Lori Chavez-DeRemer and Matthew Whitaker (Tom Williams and Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call file photos)

Trump’s second administration set to be filled with losers

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted November 25, 2024 at 2:45pm, Updated November 26, 2024 at 1:48pm
Former President Donald Trump, seen here at this year's Republican National Convention in Milwaukee, swept the swing states and cut his margins in Democratic-leaning territory.

Baseline Battleground: How the partisan landscape has shifted after the election

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted November 20, 2024 at 7:42pm
A voter fills out her ballot in the Alexandria City High School gymnasium in Virginia on Election Day.

What happened and what’s next after the 2024 elections?

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted November 7, 2024 at 7:06pm
Rep. Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., and her husband Paul, greet guests before Vice President Kamala Harris addressed the crowd at Howard University after conceding the presidential race to Donald Trump on Wednesday.

5 big questions with Nathan L. Gonzales

By Jason Dick and Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted November 7, 2024 at 2:26pm
A Halloween display featuring a “Zach Nunn for Congress” campaign sign, a dragon, Beetlejuice, a scarecrow and an inflatable Donald Trump is pictured in Griswold, Iowa, on Oct. 16.

Outlier or early warning? Late Iowa Poll confounds 

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted November 4, 2024 at 5:00am
The Texas Senate race has shifted away from GOP Sen. Ted Cruz, seen here at the Republican National Convention, and is now rated Tilt Republican by Inside Elections.

Ratings changes: What we do and don’t know about the fight for Congress

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted November 1, 2024 at 1:18pm
Rep. John Duarte, R-Calif., seen here last month at the Capitol, is now an underdog in his reelection race.

Rating Changes: House almost as close as presidential race

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted October 22, 2024 at 4:30pm
Independent Senate candidate Dan Osborn speaks during his campaign stop at Sly’s Family Bar and Grill in Neligh, Neb., on Monday. Osborn is running against Republican Sen. Deb Fischer, and the two parties differ on the status of the race.

Let’s get (electorally) unstable!

By Jason Dick and Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted October 18, 2024 at 12:55pm
Rep. Don Bacon, R-Neb., right, and his Democratic challenger Tony Vargas hold their debate at the KETV studios in Omaha, Neb., on Oct. 13. Inside Elections is changing the rating for their contest from Toss-up to Tilt Democratic.

Rating Changes: 8 in the House, 2 in the Senate

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted October 15, 2024 at 2:43pm
In the district of Rep. Lori Chavez-DeRemer, R-Ore., voter perceptions about the direction of the country and the state were the most closely aligned among the five districts surveyed by Inside Elections.

House battleground polls show consistent voter concerns

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted October 8, 2024 at 12:23pm
Patrons watch the vice presidential debate between Republican candidate JD Vance and Democratic candidate Tim Walz at Union Pub on Capitol Hill on Tuesday.

7 things I think I think about the vice presidential debate

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted October 2, 2024 at 3:56pm
Democrats and Republicans disagree about the fundamentals of the Texas Senate race, but Democratic Rep. Colin Allred has seen the race shift toward him and his party.

Ratings changes reflect hyper-competitive campaign

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted September 27, 2024 at 12:59pm
Iowa Republican Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks is in a more competitive race.

Ratings changes show path to GOP control of Senate, House

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted September 16, 2024 at 11:03am
The Maryland Senate primary that Angela Alsobrooks, now the Democratic nominee, won against Rep. David Trone was among the most instructive for Roll Call Elections Analyst Nathan L. Gonzales. Gov. Wes Moore is pictured at right.

The surprises, lessons and exhaustion of the congressional primaries

By Jason Dick and Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted September 12, 2024 at 10:28am
Former President Donald Trump speaks to reporters in the spin room after debating Vice President Kamala Harris in Philadelphia on Tuesday night.

Trump, Harris face off with White House on the line

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted September 11, 2024 at 10:52am
New York Republican Rep. Mike Lawler’s reelection race is moving in his favor, according to Nathan L. Gonzales of Inside Elections.

Rating changes: Seven House races shift on divided battlefield

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted September 4, 2024 at 4:23pm
Vice President Kamala Harris delivers her acceptance speech during the final night of the 2024 Democratic National Convention in Chicago on Aug. 22.

Details are not required in elections

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted August 28, 2024 at 2:52pm
Stephanie Murphy, then-candidate for Congress from Florida, speaks while flanked by the House Democratic women at the Democratic National Convention in Philadelphia on July 26, 2016.

Bullish on candidates who are bearish about Chicago attendance

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted August 20, 2024 at 5:48pm
Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz fires up the crowd at The Liacouras Center in Philadelphia on Tuesday during his first appearance as Vice President Kamala Harris' running mate.

Tim Walz did not come across as a rising star nearly 19 years ago

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted August 7, 2024 at 2:56pm
Rep. Marcy Kaptur, an Ohio Democrat in a competitive race in November, cheers during President Joe Biden’s State of the Union address in the House chamber on Feb. 7, 2023.

Battleground polls tell tales of before and after Biden dropped out

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted July 31, 2024 at 3:03pm
Sens. Thomas Eagleton, D-Mo., left, and George McGovern, D-S.D., the Democratic nominees for vice president and president, respectively, at the Democratic National Convention in 1972. Eagleton dropped off the ticket less than three weeks later after revealing he had been treated for depression.

Yes things feel crazy, but elections are frequently chaotic, from LBJ to RBG and more

By Jason Dick and Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted July 26, 2024 at 11:06am
President Joe Biden walks toward Marine One on the South Lawn of the White House on Feb. 20, 2024.

Republicans should be careful what they wish for on Biden resignation

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted July 24, 2024 at 1:03pm
A sign for the Washington, D.C., delegation is seen at Fiserv Forum on the first day of Republican National Convention in Milwaukee.

The relegation of the Washington, DC, delegation

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted July 16, 2024 at 6:31pm
California Republican Rep. Kevin Kiley, pictured at a news conference with Speaker Mike Johnson in December, is one of nine House members whose battleground districts include part of Interstate 80.

Roads to the House majority: Interstate 80

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted July 10, 2024 at 5:44pm
It's known there as the New Jersey Turnpike, but Interstate 95 cuts through an eastern portion of the district of Republican Rep. Thomas H. Kean Jr., who is in a race rated Tilt Republican.

Roads to the House majority: Interstate 95

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted July 2, 2024 at 11:50am
The Interstate 5 and Interstate 605 interchange is seen on descent to Los Angeles International Airport.

Nathan L. Gonzales just can’t wait to get on the road again

By Jason Dick and Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted June 27, 2024 at 10:01pm
Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez, D-Wash., is one of the most vulnerable House incumbents this year.

Roads to the House majority: Interstate 5

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted June 24, 2024 at 5:30am
Newspapers reporting on former President Donald Trump’s criminal conviction are for sale near Trump Tower in New York City prior to the presumed Republican presidential nominee holding a news conference on Friday.

Trump’s conviction is not the time for snap political analysis

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted May 31, 2024 at 12:30pm
Donald Trump holds a presidential campaign rally in Crotona Park on May 23 in the Bronx borough of New York City.

It’s past time to retire covering rallies as signs of momentum

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted May 28, 2024 at 12:50pm
Janelle Bynum

Bynum’s primary win boosts Democrats’ chances to flip Oregon seat

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted May 22, 2024 at 2:32pm
Angela Alsobrooks, second from right, Democratic Senate candidate from Maryland, and Gov. Wes Moore, D-Md., left, pose for picture with voters on the state’s primary election day at Lewisdale Elementary School in Chillum, Md., on Tuesday.

Primary colors: Breaking down the latest congressional contests

By Jason Dick and Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted May 15, 2024 at 10:04pm
Kari Lake, Republican Senate candidate from Arizona, is seen in the Capitol after a meeting with Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., on March 6.

Race ratings change after polling in Arizona, indictment in Texas

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted May 13, 2024 at 2:47pm
Joe Biden was just a forrmer vice president when he spoke at a Nevada Democrats election rally Las Vegas on Oct. 20, 2018.

Rating change: Nevada a Toss-up in presidential race

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted May 8, 2024 at 9:20am
Dave McCormick, the Republican U.S. Senate candidate from Pennsylvania, reaches out to shake hands with a voter after a campaign rally at Beerded Goat Brewery in Harrisburg, Pa., on April 25.

Republicans banking on the road less traveled to Senate majority

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted May 1, 2024 at 2:50pm
Former Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan, a Republican now vying for U.S. Senate, greets fans outside Camden Yards before the Baltimore Orioles' opening game of the season on March 28.

Are these streaks made to be broken?

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted April 23, 2024 at 5:01am
Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown raised $12 million in the first three months of this year for his reelection race in Ohio. That’s close to the $12.9 million Republican Richard Burr spent on his entire 2004 campaign to win a competitive open seat in North Carolina.

Senate fundraising dwarfs past Senate and presidential races

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted April 9, 2024 at 10:30am
The Inside Elections rating for Nebraska Republican Rep. Don Bacon’s reelection bid moved from Lean to Tilt Republican.

Rating changes: 12 House races shift on divided battlefield

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted April 1, 2024 at 4:08pm
Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez, D-Wash., won a seat in 2022 that went Republican for president in 2020, and faces a Toss-up race in November.

Race to House majority runs through the 10 Toss-ups

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted March 27, 2024 at 12:12pm
Rep. Mike Bost, R-Ill., is in a competitive primary against the GOP's candidate for governor last year.

Trump support may not be enough to save Bost in Illinois

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted March 19, 2024 at 10:36am
President Joe Biden beat Donald Trump before, but he seeks reelection with weak popularity ratings and voters concerned about his age.

Rating change: Presidential race looks even between Biden, Trump

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted March 12, 2024 at 4:19pm