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Nathan L. Gonzales

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Patrons watch the vice presidential debate between Republican candidate JD Vance and Democratic candidate Tim Walz at Union Pub on Capitol Hill on Tuesday.

7 things I think I think about the vice presidential debate

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted October 2, 2024 at 3:56pm
Democrats and Republicans disagree about the fundamentals of the Texas Senate race, but Democratic Rep. Colin Allred has seen the race shift toward him and his party.

Ratings changes reflect hyper-competitive campaign

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted September 27, 2024 at 12:59pm
Iowa Republican Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks is in a more competitive race.

Ratings changes show path to GOP control of Senate, House

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted September 16, 2024 at 11:03am
The Maryland Senate primary that Angela Alsobrooks, now the Democratic nominee, won against Rep. David Trone was among the most instructive for Roll Call Elections Analyst Nathan L. Gonzales. Gov. Wes Moore is pictured at right.

The surprises, lessons and exhaustion of the congressional primaries

By Jason Dick and Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted September 12, 2024 at 10:28am
Former President Donald Trump speaks to reporters in the spin room after debating Vice President Kamala Harris in Philadelphia on Tuesday night.

Trump, Harris face off with White House on the line

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted September 11, 2024 at 10:52am
New York Republican Rep. Mike Lawler’s reelection race is moving in his favor, according to Nathan L. Gonzales of Inside Elections.

Rating changes: Seven House races shift on divided battlefield

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted September 4, 2024 at 4:23pm
Vice President Kamala Harris delivers her acceptance speech during the final night of the 2024 Democratic National Convention in Chicago on Aug. 22.

Details are not required in elections

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted August 28, 2024 at 2:52pm
Stephanie Murphy, then-candidate for Congress from Florida, speaks while flanked by the House Democratic women at the Democratic National Convention in Philadelphia on July 26, 2016.

Bullish on candidates who are bearish about Chicago attendance

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted August 20, 2024 at 5:48pm
Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz fires up the crowd at The Liacouras Center in Philadelphia on Tuesday during his first appearance as Vice President Kamala Harris' running mate.

Tim Walz did not come across as a rising star nearly 19 years ago

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted August 7, 2024 at 2:56pm
Rep. Marcy Kaptur, an Ohio Democrat in a competitive race in November, cheers during President Joe Biden’s State of the Union address in the House chamber on Feb. 7, 2023.

Battleground polls tell tales of before and after Biden dropped out

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted July 31, 2024 at 3:03pm
Sens. Thomas Eagleton, D-Mo., left, and George McGovern, D-S.D., the Democratic nominees for vice president and president, respectively, at the Democratic National Convention in 1972. Eagleton dropped off the ticket less than three weeks later after revealing he had been treated for depression.

Yes things feel crazy, but elections are frequently chaotic, from LBJ to RBG and more

By Jason Dick and Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted July 26, 2024 at 11:06am
President Joe Biden walks toward Marine One on the South Lawn of the White House on Feb. 20, 2024.

Republicans should be careful what they wish for on Biden resignation

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted July 24, 2024 at 1:03pm
A sign for the Washington, D.C., delegation is seen at Fiserv Forum on the first day of Republican National Convention in Milwaukee.

The relegation of the Washington, DC, delegation

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted July 16, 2024 at 6:31pm
California Republican Rep. Kevin Kiley, pictured at a news conference with Speaker Mike Johnson in December, is one of nine House members whose battleground districts include part of Interstate 80.

Roads to the House majority: Interstate 80

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted July 10, 2024 at 5:44pm
It's known there as the New Jersey Turnpike, but Interstate 95 cuts through an eastern portion of the district of Republican Rep. Thomas H. Kean Jr., who is in a race rated Tilt Republican.

Roads to the House majority: Interstate 95

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted July 2, 2024 at 11:50am
The Interstate 5 and Interstate 605 interchange is seen on descent to Los Angeles International Airport.

Nathan L. Gonzales just can’t wait to get on the road again

By Jason Dick and Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted June 27, 2024 at 10:01pm
Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez, D-Wash., is one of the most vulnerable House incumbents this year.

Roads to the House majority: Interstate 5

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted June 24, 2024 at 5:30am
Newspapers reporting on former President Donald Trump’s criminal conviction are for sale near Trump Tower in New York City prior to the presumed Republican presidential nominee holding a news conference on Friday.

Trump’s conviction is not the time for snap political analysis

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted May 31, 2024 at 12:30pm
Donald Trump holds a presidential campaign rally in Crotona Park on May 23 in the Bronx borough of New York City.

It’s past time to retire covering rallies as signs of momentum

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted May 28, 2024 at 12:50pm
Janelle Bynum

Bynum’s primary win boosts Democrats’ chances to flip Oregon seat

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted May 22, 2024 at 2:32pm
Angela Alsobrooks, second from right, Democratic Senate candidate from Maryland, and Gov. Wes Moore, D-Md., left, pose for picture with voters on the state’s primary election day at Lewisdale Elementary School in Chillum, Md., on Tuesday.

Primary colors: Breaking down the latest congressional contests

By Jason Dick and Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted May 15, 2024 at 10:04pm
Kari Lake, Republican Senate candidate from Arizona, is seen in the Capitol after a meeting with Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., on March 6.

Race ratings change after polling in Arizona, indictment in Texas

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted May 13, 2024 at 2:47pm
Joe Biden was just a forrmer vice president when he spoke at a Nevada Democrats election rally Las Vegas on Oct. 20, 2018.

Rating change: Nevada a Toss-up in presidential race

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted May 8, 2024 at 9:20am
Dave McCormick, the Republican U.S. Senate candidate from Pennsylvania, reaches out to shake hands with a voter after a campaign rally at Beerded Goat Brewery in Harrisburg, Pa., on April 25.

Republicans banking on the road less traveled to Senate majority

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted May 1, 2024 at 2:50pm
Former Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan, a Republican now vying for U.S. Senate, greets fans outside Camden Yards before the Baltimore Orioles' opening game of the season on March 28.

Are these streaks made to be broken?

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted April 23, 2024 at 5:01am
Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown raised $12 million in the first three months of this year for his reelection race in Ohio. That’s close to the $12.9 million Republican Richard Burr spent on his entire 2004 campaign to win a competitive open seat in North Carolina.

Senate fundraising dwarfs past Senate and presidential races

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted April 9, 2024 at 10:30am
The Inside Elections rating for Nebraska Republican Rep. Don Bacon’s reelection bid moved from Lean to Tilt Republican.

Rating changes: 12 House races shift on divided battlefield

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted April 1, 2024 at 4:08pm
Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez, D-Wash., won a seat in 2022 that went Republican for president in 2020, and faces a Toss-up race in November.

Race to House majority runs through the 10 Toss-ups

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted March 27, 2024 at 12:12pm
Rep. Mike Bost, R-Ill., is in a competitive primary against the GOP's candidate for governor last year.

Trump support may not be enough to save Bost in Illinois

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted March 19, 2024 at 10:36am
President Joe Biden beat Donald Trump before, but he seeks reelection with weak popularity ratings and voters concerned about his age.

Rating change: Presidential race looks even between Biden, Trump

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted March 12, 2024 at 4:19pm
Democrats in Washington are backing a challenger who previously beat Oregon Republican Rep. Lori Chavez-DeRemer in races for state legislature.

Democrats hoping past is prologue in key Oregon House race

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted March 5, 2024 at 6:30am
Republican presidential candidate and former President Donald Trump gestures to supporters and Sen. Tim Scott applauds on Saturday in Columbia, S.C. after Trump won the South Carolina primary.

Vast majority of Republicans still will vote for Trump in November

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted February 26, 2024 at 1:12pm
Republican former Rep. Mike Rogers is running for Michigan's open Senate seat.

As younger members of Congress leave, veteran members are trying to get back in

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted February 22, 2024 at 11:44am
Former Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan, left, a Republican who launched a bid for Senate last week, shakes hands with the Democrat he is running to succeed, Sen. Benjamin L. Cardin, at a 2018 Senate committee hearing.

New Senate ratings: Maryland, Michigan shift toward GOP

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted February 12, 2024 at 4:12pm
Democratic candidate Rudy Salas in California's 22nd District campaigns in October 2022 with Sen. Alex Padilla, D-Calif. Salas lost to GOP Rep. David Valadao, and is running again this year.

How retread candidates derided as ‘crusty lasagna’ really stack up

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted February 7, 2024 at 6:00am
Former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley announces she is running for president in Charleston, S.C., on Feb. 15, 2023.

GOP’s short-sighted ostracizing of Haley

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted January 22, 2024 at 12:13pm
Former President Donald Trump speaks at his caucus night event, with sons Eric Trump and Donald Trump Jr. looking on, at the Iowa Events Center on Monday in Des Moines, Iowa.

It’s still Trump’s race to lose after Iowa

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted January 16, 2024 at 5:43am
Recent departures may make it seem like the House is emptying out, but the rate is only slightly above average.

Number of House departures only slightly above average

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted January 9, 2024 at 3:25pm
Rep. Scott Perry, R-Pa., faces a more competitive race this year in a district Donald Trump carried narrowly in 2020.

Rating updates: Peltola, Perry face tougher races

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted January 3, 2024 at 1:38pm
Pennsylvania Democratic Rep. Susan Wild and Labor Secretary Marty Walsh, left, tour Lehigh Heavy Forge in Bethlehem, Pa., to promote legislation to create jobs on June 2, 2021.

Election roads go through Bethlehem(s)

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted December 19, 2023 at 2:25pm
Rep. Anthony D'Esposito, R-N.Y., is seeking reelection in a district where the typical Democrat has a nearly 12-point edge according to Inside Elections' Baseline metric.

Baseline metric offers Democrats hope for retaking the House

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted December 11, 2023 at 1:24pm
Republican leader Kevin McCarthy, R-Calif., waits in his seat for the 14th failed vote to elect a speaker of the House on Jan. 6. McCarthy was eventually elected speaker but in October became the first one to be voted out of his position by his colleagues.

The view from 2073: What political stories this year will be relevant in 50 years?

By Jason Dick and Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted December 7, 2023 at 1:32pm
Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis has completed campaign visits to all 99 of Iowa’s counties ahead of the Republican presidential caucuses next month.

Former Florida congressman struggles in Iowa presidential race

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted December 5, 2023 at 5:00pm
President Joe Biden heads into his reelection campaign with a weak job performance rating, and some voters are concerned he may be too old at 81.

Good news blinds both parties to weak presidential nominees

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted November 27, 2023 at 3:16pm
Democratic Gov. Andy Beshear of Kentucky is joined by his wife, Britainy Beshear, as he delivers his victory speech Tuesday in Louisville, Ky.

Democrats see big wins in local elections, look to 2024

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted November 8, 2023 at 10:24am
President Joe Biden’s high disapproval rating means Democrats have to frame the election as a choice between the parties and not a referendum on Biden’s term.

Sweep or split? Either is likely given Trump, Biden liabilities

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted November 6, 2023 at 5:03pm
A spectator encourages runners at the Peace Monument during the Marine Corps Marathon on Oct. 29, 2022.

The cranky American: A tale told with polls

By Jason Dick and Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted November 2, 2023 at 10:49am
Democratic Rep. Don Davis is facing a Toss-up race next year under North Carolina’s redrawn congressional map.

Race ratings: New map erases Democrats’ edge in North Carolina

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted November 2, 2023 at 5:01am
From left, Reps. Eli Crane, R-Ariz.; Matt Rosendale, R-Mont.; Bob Good, R-Va.; Lauren Boebert, R-Colo.; Andy Biggs, R-Ariz.; and Matt Gaetz, R-Fla., sit together during the third failed vote to elect a new speaker of the House on Oct. 20.

Will the GOP’s House speaker battle matter in 2024?

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted October 26, 2023 at 5:45am
Louisiana Attorney General Jeff Landry, a former House member who won the election for governor on Saturday, testifies at a House Judiciary subcommittee meeting on March 30.

Proceed with caution on what 2023 races tell us

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted October 19, 2023 at 5:00am
Reps. Eli Crane, R-Ariz., right, and Matt Rosendale, R-Mont., leave the House after the last votes of the week on Sept. 14.

Don’t blame gerrymandering for House GOP speaker mess

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted October 11, 2023 at 5:00am
Protesters hold signs at a Catholics for Catholics event in response to the Dodgers' Pride Night event including the Sisters of Perpetual Indulgence prior to the game between the San Francisco Giants and the Los Angeles Dodgers at Dodger Stadium on June 16 in Los Angeles.

Baseball broke Republicans’ ‘go woke, go broke’ slogan

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted October 4, 2023 at 3:14pm
New York Giants receiver Mario Manningham makes a catch for a 39-yard gain against the New England Patriots in the fourth quarter of Super Bowl XLVI on Feb. 5, 2012, in Indianapolis.

Comparing elections to sports, does Biden have all kinds of time?

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted September 28, 2023 at 7:30am
At the start of the 112th Congress on Jan. 5, 2011, Rep. Tim Scott, R-S.C., left, hugs Rep. Ileana Ros-Lehtinen, R-Fla., as Rep. Kristi Noem, R-S.D., shakes hands with Rep. Jane Harman, D-Calif.

One of these five people will (probably) be Trump’s running mate

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted September 21, 2023 at 3:50pm
Colorado Republican Rep. Lauren Boebert's race in 2024 is now rated Tilt Republican, a shift toward the Democrats from Lean Republican.

Rating changes: 10 races shift, with House control in play

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted September 18, 2023 at 4:09pm
Rep. Scott Perry, R-Pa., conducts a news conference with members of the House Freedom Caucus on government funding outside the U.S. Capitol on Tuesday, September 12, 2023.

If it’s September, it’s government meltdown time

By Jason Dick and Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted September 14, 2023 at 12:13pm
Louisiana Attorney General Jeff Landry, seen here in March testifying before the House Judiciary Select Subcommittee on the Weaponization of the Federal Government, is the frontrunner to be the next governor of Louisiana. He was a member of the House from 2011-2013.

In nation’s gubernatorial races, there are a lot of Capitol Hill connections

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted September 12, 2023 at 4:22pm
Minnesota Democratic Rep. Dean Phillips burst onto the national stage a month ago by calling for a primary challenge to President Joe Biden.

Will Dean Phillips survive his presidential trial balloon?

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted September 6, 2023 at 5:00am
New York Republican Rep. Mike Lawler leaves a meeting of the House Republican Conference at the Capitol Hill Club on July 26.

How the 12 Toss-up races on next year’s House battlefield align

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted August 29, 2023 at 2:23pm
Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis needs a stronger showing in Iowa to have a chance of winning the Republican presidential nomination.

DeSantis touts Iowa ‘kingmaker’ whose picks weren’t nominated

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted August 23, 2023 at 12:42pm
Former President Donald Trump speaks during a rally at the Steer N' Stein bar at the Iowa State Fair on Aug. 12 in Des Moines, Iowa.

One more indictment won’t knock Trump from GOP front-runner spot

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted August 15, 2023 at 5:22pm
Candidate Wendy Davis talks with a supporter before the Adams County fair parade on July 18 in Monroe, Ind.

Indiana parade draws Republicans vying for Banks’ open seat

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted July 26, 2023 at 5:45pm
Former Rep. Dave Reichert's run for governor gives Republicans their best chance in decades to win Washington's governor's office, but it's still an uphill climb.

Reichert puts race for Washington governor on battleground

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted July 18, 2023 at 3:22pm
Would you want to compete with the fireworks? There is a reason so many candidates waited until July 10 to announce their races.

I know what you did this summer

By Jason Dick and Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted July 13, 2023 at 2:56pm
Republican state Sen. Tom Barrett, seen going door-to-door to meet voters in Michigan in 2022, is running again in Michigan's 7th District.

Explaining the sudden rush of 2024 candidate announcements

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted July 10, 2023 at 3:46pm
Chairman of the Faith & Freedom Coalition Ralph Reed pats Republican presidential candidate and former President Donald Trump on the shoulder after Trump spoke at the Faith & Freedom Road to Majority conference at the Washington Hilton on Saturday.

Be skeptical of the ‘wave’ of evangelical voters

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted June 28, 2023 at 6:00am
The decision by Michigan Democratic Rep. Elissa Slotkin to look to the Senate side of the Capitol for her next election leaves open a seat that both parties have a shot at winning next year.

The (not really) dangerous (not quite a) dozen open House seats

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted June 22, 2023 at 5:30am
David Clarke Jr., sheriff of Milwaukee County, Wis., speaks at a forum in 2017, the year he called a PAC raising money to encourage him to run for Senate a scam.

Guilty pleas in ‘scam PAC’ case tied to 2017 Wisconsin Senate race

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted June 13, 2023 at 1:43pm
The pronunciation of Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis' last name is a minor issue in his run for the GOP presidential nomination, but questions about it should not have been a surprise.

How confusion about pronouncing his name could matter for DeSantis

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted June 7, 2023 at 12:46pm
California's Democratic Gov. Gavin Newsom won reelection in 2022 but by a smaller margin than Joe Biden carried the state by in 2020.

Four states where parties look to bounce back better in 2024

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted June 1, 2023 at 11:33am
Demonstrators march to the White House to call on the Biden administration to protect abortion rights on July 9, 2022.

Left-behind polling memo shows abortion hurting outlook for GOP

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted May 24, 2023 at 6:01pm
The rating for Sen. Ted Cruz’s reelection race in Texas is shifting from Safe Republican to Battleground.

Rating change: Allred puts Texas Senate race on the battleground

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted May 18, 2023 at 5:31am
Former Nevada state Assemblyman Jim Marchant, who says the 2020 and 2022 elections were stolen from Republicans, is seeking the party's nomination for Senate next year.

When is it too late to run for Senate?

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted May 11, 2023 at 12:01pm
GOP Sen. Mike Braun's bid to be governor of Indiana is one of many connections between Capitol Hill and the top offices in state capitals.

Races for governor in several states have ties to Capitol Hill

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted May 2, 2023 at 4:38pm
Sen. Bob Casey D-Pa., is running for reelection in a state that will also be a presidential battleground in 2024.

You sunk my battleground! Campaign 2024 gets underway

By Jason Dick and Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted April 27, 2023 at 10:51am
The North Front of the White House is seen through the security fence on Oct. 6, 2022.

2024 presidential outlook: Meet the new race, same as the old race

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted April 26, 2023 at 9:49am
Sen. Joe Manchin may be the only Democrat who could win in West Virginia next year, so his decision whether to run again has a big impact on the fight for party control.

Which senators still undecided about 2024 runs will matter most?

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted April 19, 2023 at 5:00am
Members of the NYPD Counterterrorism unit patrol outside Trump Tower in New York on Monday, a day before former President Donald Trump is expected to be arraigned at a Manhattan courthouse following his indictment by a grand jury.

Indictment will not only affect Trump in 2024 election

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted April 3, 2023 at 11:54am
Sen. Tim Scott, R-S.C., delivers the keynote address at the Charleston County GOP Black History Month Banquet at the Citadel Alumni Center in Charleston, S.C., on Feb. 16.

The race to relevance in the 2024 presidential election

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted March 29, 2023 at 4:14pm
There’s not much value in predicting in advance the political impact if former President Donald Trump were indicted, Nathan L. Gonzales writes.

Equine analogy helps in assessing impact of a Trump indictment

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted March 24, 2023 at 12:45pm
Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis speaks at a rally in Youngstown, Ohio, on Aug. 19, 2022.

DeSantis’ background is evolving as he preps presidential run

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted March 21, 2023 at 12:56pm
As it was in 2022, the seat held by Rep. Mike Garcia, R-Calif., is part of the 2024 House battleground in initial ratings by analyst Nathan L. Gonzales.

Battleground looks evenly split in first House ratings for 2024

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted March 14, 2023 at 5:00am
Rep. John James, R-Mich., won by less than 1 percentage point last year, but a Democrat trying to oust him next year will be competing for airtime with presidential and Senate candidates in the battleground state.

Ad costs for House races could spike in some battleground states

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted February 28, 2023 at 2:02pm
Rep. Ralph Norman, R-S.C., introduces former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley at her event in Charleston, S.C., on Wednesday to announce she is running for president.

Early onset political prognostication

By Jason Dick and Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted February 16, 2023 at 9:07am
Republican Glenn Youngkin's election as Virginia's governor in 2021 was seen as a sign of GOP victories that did not materialize in the 2022 midterms.

Beware of overanalyzing what 2023 elections mean for 2024

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted February 16, 2023 at 9:03am
A poll showing voters saying they are worse off than before President Joe Biden became president needs to be read in the context of the election that just ended.

New poll not good news for Biden, but how bad is it really?

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted February 9, 2023 at 5:30am
Sen. Tammy Baldwin, D-Wis., represents the most competitive state in the country, though it has shifted slightly toward Democrats since her last election in 2018.

Four senators up in ’24 facing friendlier state electorates

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted February 1, 2023 at 5:30am
Ohio Sen. Sherrod Brown outperformed a typical Democrat in his state in his last election and will have to do so again.

States’ partisan changes since 2018 could decide Senate control

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted January 31, 2023 at 5:00am
The Nebraska district of Republican Rep. Don Bacon seems like a perennial part of the House battlefield.

Is the competitive House battleground due to shrink?

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted January 25, 2023 at 5:00am
Senate Majority Leader Charles E. Schumer, left, and Senate campaign chairman Gary Peters were all smiles in December as they discussed election results at a news conference, but 2024's challenges are very different.

Senate 2024: Democrats face lopsided battlefield

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted January 17, 2023 at 4:06pm
The battle over choosing a speaker last week took place before House rules were adopted, so C-SPAN was able to show more of the floor action of members huddling together. On Friday, the group opposing the choice of California Republican Kevin McCarthy included from left, Republican Reps. Matt Gaetz, Matt Rosendale, Lauren Boebert, Andy Biggs and Bob Good.

C-Spanning the room: Ups and downs of showing the real House

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted January 11, 2023 at 5:03pm
Republican Senate candidate Blake Masters did worse in Arizona than a typical Republican candidate might be expected to do, based on Inside Elections' Vote Above Replacement metric.

Which Senate candidates were strongest and weakest in 2022?

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted January 4, 2023 at 6:00am
Shown campaigning on Sept. 24 in Philadelphia, Democratic Sen.-elect John Fetterman outpolled his opponent among younger voters by 42 percentage points, according to one exit poll.

Do Democrats have a problem with younger voters?

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted December 21, 2022 at 11:14am
West Virginia, where Democratic Sen. Joe Manchin's seat is up again in 2024, is one of the states that moved the most toward Republicans in the past decade, according to the Inside Elections Baseline metric.

How the battleground states have shifted over the past decade

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted December 13, 2022 at 9:00am
If they want to stay in the Senate, Democrats Jon Tester of Montana, left, and Joe Manchin III of West Virginia will have to seek reelection in 2024.

Once again, GOP has opportunity to win the Senate in 2024

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted December 8, 2022 at 5:00am
Sen. Raphael Warnock, D-Ga., arrives on his campaign bus campaign for a rally in Grovetown, Ga., on Nov. 5.

Rating change: Georgia Senate shifts to Tilt Democratic

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted December 1, 2022 at 11:26am
The 2021 election victory by Virginia Gov. Glenn Youngkin, a Republican, in a state President Joe Biden won a year earlier fueled the belief that upset parents would propel a Republican wave in the 2022 midterm elections.

What the data shows about angry parents rocking the 2022 election

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted November 28, 2022 at 2:32pm
Speaker Nancy Pelosi announces she is stepping down from her leadership position on the House floor of the Capitol on Nov. 17, 2022.

Measure for measure: Drama of 2022 midterms starts to conclude

By Jason Dick and Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted November 17, 2022 at 2:45pm
With one race in Georgia headed to a runoff, the five new GOP senators in the next Congress all filled seats previously held by Republicans. From left, Sens.-elect Markwayne Mullin of Oklahoma and Ted Budd of North Carolina, Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell and Sens.-elect Katie Britt of Alabama, J.D. Vance of Ohio and Eric Schmitt of Missouri pose for photos before a meeting in the Capitol on Tuesday.

GOP had big opportunity, but voters balked at sweeping change

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted November 15, 2022 at 12:29pm
Democratic Senate candidate John Fetterman speaks Sunday during a rally in Newtown, Pa. Fetterman's race against Republican Mehmet Oz is rated a Toss-up.

The likeliest scenarios after the election dust settles

By Nathan L. Gonzales
Posted November 8, 2022 at 5:00am