Skip to content
RollCall logo

Rothenblog

Democrats may be predicting a blue wave, but surveys show many independents are still up for grabs and Republicans could yet win that battle of ideas, Winston writes. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call file photo)

Analysis: The House Blue Wave Is Alive and Well

By Stuart Rothenberg
Posted June 13, 2018 at 5:04am
Former White House adviser Steve Bannon, here with senior White House aide Kellyanne Conway at President Donald Trump’s inauguration in January 2017, has a strategy for the midterms that is all about placing the president up front. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call file photo)

Analysis: Steve Bannon Is Right About the Midterms — Until He Isn’t

By Stuart Rothenberg
Posted June 5, 2018 at 5:04am
The two big wave elections of the past 20 years were driven by independents, who preferred Democrats in 2006 and Republicans in 2010, Rothenberg writes. (Meredith Dake-O'Connor/CQ Roll Call file photo)

Analysis: Why You Should Focus on Independents

By Stuart Rothenberg
Posted May 30, 2018 at 5:02am
Former Pennsylvania Republican Rep. Patrick Meehan, seen here after being pulled from the Congressional Baseball Game in 2014, has left behinda an open seat that is the most likely to flip party control, Rothenberg writes. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call file photo)

Rothenberg’s Dangerous Dozen Open House Seats

By Stuart Rothenberg
Posted May 10, 2018 at 5:03am
Sen. Sherrod Brown, D-Ohio, speaks during the Senate Democrats press conference following the Senate Democrats' policy lunch in the Capitol in January 2018. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call file photo)

Analysis: GOP Senate Targets Fade From View

By Stuart Rothenberg
Posted May 3, 2018 at 7:00am
National surveys of President Donald Trump’s approval and the generic ballot appear to be dramatically changing, but the truth is more complicated than that, Rothenberg writes. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call file photo)

Analysis: Trump Numbers Are Up. And Down. But Really Unchanged.

By Stuart Rothenberg
Posted April 19, 2018 at 5:04am
President Donald Trump’s GOP currently represents the party of continuity, which does not bode well for its chances in November, Rothenberg writes. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call file photo)

Analysis: Can a President Preaching Change Lead a Party of Incumbents?

By Stuart Rothenberg
Posted April 10, 2018 at 5:03am
Nearly 20 years ago, DCCC Chairman Martin Frost of Texas, left, and NRCC Chairman John Linder of Georgia, pledged to refrain from attacks of a personal nature in political campaigns. (Tom Williams/Scott J. Ferrell/CQ Roll Call file photos)

Analysis: When History Overtakes a Campaign Promise

By Stuart Rothenberg
Posted April 3, 2018 at 7:00am
Democrat Conor Lamb, left, and Republican Rick Saccone are competing for Pennsylvania’s open 18th District seat. (Courtesy Conor Lamb/Rick Saccone/Facebook)

Pennsylvania 18: A Red Flag for the GOP

By Stuart Rothenberg
Posted March 14, 2018 at 5:05am
Maryland Rep. Jamie Raskin, seen here on the East Lawn on Feb. 21 with students who were calling for action on gun control, represents the kind of suburban district that was once reliably Republican, but no longer, Rothenberg writes. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call file photo)

Analysis: Why the Gun Issue Has Shifted (It’s Not What You Think)

By Stuart Rothenberg
Posted March 6, 2018 at 5:04am