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America may have a new third party: the Democrats

This advantage occurred despite Republicans slipping by 1 percentage point, going from 36 percent in 2020 to 35 percent in 2024, according to the unfinalized exit polls.

Campaigns · 118th Congress

At the Races: Closing time

In Michigan at large, Democrats outnumber Republicans in the voter rolls 2-to-1, but only 26 percent of them have voted so far, compared with 37 percent of Republicans.

Campaigns · 118th Congress

At the Races: And then there were two

Reevaluating: House Majority PAC canceled nearly $1 million in ad reservations for Wisconsin’s 1st District, where Democrat Peter Barca is seeking to oust Rep. Bryan Steil. 

Not shying from the red label in a blue district

There’s been little public polling on the race, which is the case in most House races, but an Emerson College/Pix11/The Hill poll taken between Oct. 1 and 3of 630 likely voters found Lawler leading, 45

This is the Obama-Biden-Harris economic legacy

People who had a negative view of the economy voted for Trump by a 2-1 margin (62 percent to 31 percent). This was a key reason why Hillary Clinton lost in 2016.

Campaigns · 118th Congress

At the Races: Money comin’, money goin’

Her nearly $2.7 million raised, including a $1 million loan, put her ahead of any other Republican candidate on that list.

Campaigns · 118th Congress

At the Races: Please bet responsibly

A statewide exit poll after the 2022 contest found Latino voters supported Democrats by a 2-to-1 margin, a result Democrats are seeking to replicate.

Campaigns · 118th Congress

At the Races: Expanding states of play

Ruben Gallego ahead of Republican Kari Lake by 10 points, well outside the margin of error, even as the presidential race was a toss-up, with their survey showing Trump ahead of Harris by 1 point.

To debate or not to debate, that is the question

In a new Winning the Issues survey (September 18–19), the electorate was asked how each candidate did in the debate on a scale of 1 (very poorly) to 5 (neutral) to 9 (very well).

Campaigns · 118th Congress

At the Races: Making an Empire statement

A New York Times/Philadelphia Inquirer/Siena College poll had Harris up by 4 points and a Franklin & Marshall poll had Harris up by 3 points, The Washington Post had her ahead by 1, Marist had a tie and

Campaigns · 118th Congress

At the Races: Recapping the season

Brandon Williams, who was No. 1 on our most vulnerable list, 50 percent to 43 percent.

Fact-checking the Harris-Trump debate

Fewer than 1 percent were performed at 21 weeks or later. The figures are voluntarily reported and apply to legal abortions in 48 reporting areas in the U.S.