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Election Oddsmakers Suffering From Fuzzy Math

Weirdly, by 49 percent to 35 percent, respondents to CNN’s insta-poll afterward said Obama went on the attack more than Romney, but by 47 percent to 41 percent, they found Obama more likeable.

Joseph Biden, Paul Ryan Spar in Spirited Debate

Biden also took at shot at Romney’s comments revealed on five-month-old hidden video of him speaking at a private fundraiser that “47 percent” of the country’s citizens see themselves as “victims

Arizona: NRSC IE Poll Shows Jeff Flake Ahead

Flake takes 47 percent to Carmona’s 41 percent, with undecided voters accounting for 12 percent in the survey paid for by the National Republican Senatorial Committee’s independent expenditure unit

EMILY’s List: Women Remain Key

But an But an Oct. 8 Pew poll showed likely female voters evenly divided between the two candidates, at 47 percent each.

Mitt Romney’s Polling Surge Continues

Gallup, which unveiled its seven-day likely voter tracker for the first time today, showed Romney with a 49 percent to 47 percent advantage, while Obama led 49 percent to 46 percent among registered

Can a Race Be Tight and Yet Not Competitive?

Nor am I disputing the accuracy of pollster Ron Lester’s survey, which showed Lawson and Southerland tied at 43 percent in the ballot test and 47 percent after “positive” paragraphs about the two

Mountain Region Roundup

Brian Schweitzer (D) Electoral Votes: 3 2008 Presidential Vote: McCain 50%/Obama 47% Senate Incumbent: Jon Tester (D) 1st term (49 percent) | Outlook: Tossup Rep.

12 Questions in 2012

After playing defense in the Senate for much of the cycle, many now predict Democrats could hold their 53-47 majority and have an outside chance of picking up a seat or two.

New England Region Roundup

Former WWE CEO Linda McMahon spent about $47 million on her failed 2010 Senate campaign, which she lost by 12 points despite the strong GOP tide everywhere else.

South Region Roundup

Nathan Deal (R) 2012 Electoral Votes: 16 2008 Presidential Vote: McCain 52%/Obama 47% House 9th district | New Seat Outlook: Safe Republican This new district is anchored in Hall County in the northeastern

Mid-Atlantic Region Roundup

27th district | Incumbent: Kathy Hochul (D) 1st term (47 percent) | Outlook: Tossup This race, in the Empire State’s most Republican district, is only competitive because of Hochul, whose personality