Election Oddsmakers Suffering From Fuzzy Math
Weirdly, by 49 percent to 35 percent, respondents to CNN’s insta-poll afterward said Obama went on the attack more than Romney, but by 47 percent to 41 percent, they found Obama more likeable.
Search the Roll Call archive by keyword, date, Congress, section, or tags.
Weirdly, by 49 percent to 35 percent, respondents to CNN’s insta-poll afterward said Obama went on the attack more than Romney, but by 47 percent to 41 percent, they found Obama more likeable.
Baldwin’s unfavorables, however, rose 7 points to 47 percent over two weeks, after Thompson and the NRSC started running ads against her.
Rasmussen Reports also had Romney in the lead — 49 percent to 47 percent — while a Washington Post/ABC poll had the president with a 49 percent to 46 percent advantage.
Jerry McNerney ahead of Republican challenger Ricky Gill, 47 percent to 38 percent. Obama also led in the district, 52 percent to 41 percent.
pictures of the presidential race in this conservative, coal country district in eastern Ohio: Wilson’s recent poll showed Mitt Romney leading President Barack Obama by a single point, 48 percent to 47
Biden also took at shot at Romney’s comments revealed on five-month-old hidden video of him speaking at a private fundraiser that “47 percent” of the country’s citizens see themselves as “victims
Johnson had 47 percent and Wilson had 39 percent in the survey paid for jointly by the freshman lawmaker and the National Republican Congressional Committee.
Flake takes 47 percent to Carmona’s 41 percent, with undecided voters accounting for 12 percent in the survey paid for by the National Republican Senatorial Committee’s independent expenditure unit
But a new poll commissioned for the independent expenditure arm of the National Republican Congressional Committee and obtained by Roll Call found Gibson leading Schreibman 47 percent to 39 percent
But an But an Oct. 8 Pew poll showed likely female voters evenly divided between the two candidates, at 47 percent each.
Gallup, which unveiled its seven-day likely voter tracker for the first time today, showed Romney with a 49 percent to 47 percent advantage, while Obama led 49 percent to 46 percent among registered
In Gallup’s latest tracking poll of 2,721 likely voters, conducted Oct. 2-8 and released today, Romney was the choice of 49 percent of likely voters, with Obama that of 47 percent.
Nor am I disputing the accuracy of pollster Ron Lester’s survey, which showed Lawson and Southerland tied at 43 percent in the ballot test and 47 percent after “positive” paragraphs about the two
A Siena Research Institute survey (PDF) found Hochul taking 47 percent to Collins’ 47 percent. Six percent of the likely voters surveyed were undecided.
She spent about $47 million on that campaign — giving her residual high name identification — and she is currently up in the expensive New York City television market to sell her message.
Brian Schweitzer (D) Electoral Votes: 3 2008 Presidential Vote: McCain 50%/Obama 47% Senate Incumbent: Jon Tester (D) 1st term (49 percent) | Outlook: Tossup Rep.
After playing defense in the Senate for much of the cycle, many now predict Democrats could hold their 53-47 majority and have an outside chance of picking up a seat or two.
Former WWE CEO Linda McMahon spent about $47 million on her failed 2010 Senate campaign, which she lost by 12 points despite the strong GOP tide everywhere else.
Nathan Deal (R) 2012 Electoral Votes: 16 2008 Presidential Vote: McCain 52%/Obama 47% House 9th district | New Seat Outlook: Safe Republican This new district is anchored in Hall County in the northeastern
27th district | Incumbent: Kathy Hochul (D) 1st term (47 percent) | Outlook: Tossup This race, in the Empire State’s most Republican district, is only competitive because of Hochul, whose personality