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Outlier or early warning? Late Iowa Poll confounds 

Ann Selzer shocked the political world on Saturday evening with a poll showing Vice President Kamala Harris ahead of former President Donald Trump by 3 points in Iowa, 47 percent to 44 percent.

Campaigns · 118th Congress

At the Races: Please bet responsibly

The Independent Center released a poll showing 47 percent of Nebraskans said they would vote for independent Dan Osborn, more than the 42 percent who said they’d support Sen. Deb Fischer.

Campaigns · 118th Congress

At the Races: Recapping the season

> Wild card: An Impact Research poll released Thursday by House Majority PAC, a super PAC supporting Democratic candidates, found a virtual dead heat, with Kiggans at 48 percent and Cotter Smasal at 47

Campaigns · 118th Congress

At the Races: Number crunch

Democrats point to an internal poll from mid-August showing Tran and Steel tied at 47 percent and say Biden’s decision to drop his presidential bid is providing Tran and other down-ballot candidates with

Campaigns · 118th Congress

At the Races: New guy on the ticket

The poll of 420 registered voters found 47 percent supported Molinaro and 38 percent backed Riley, with 14 percent undecided.

The sad folly of Joe Biden’s defiance

Polling analyst Nate Silver, in a New York Times op-ed last week, pointed out that Democratic Senate candidates in rough races are running better than Biden in 46 of the 47 quality surveys.