Outlier or early warning? Late Iowa Poll confoundsÂ
Ann Selzer shocked the political world on Saturday evening with a poll showing Vice President Kamala Harris ahead of former President Donald Trump by 3 points in Iowa, 47 percent to 44 percent.
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Late shifts in dynamics, but GOP still holds Senate advantage
A Washington Post poll of likely voters released earlier this month found Brown at 48 percent and Moreno at 47 percent, with a 3.5 percent margin of error.Â
Two abortion rulings could weigh into elections in Georgia, Texas
A separate poll from the Cook Political Report Swing State Project Survey puts the GOP presidential nominee at 49 percent to Harris’ 47 percent among Georgia voters.
Campaigns · 118th Congress
At the Races: Please bet responsibly
The Independent Center released a poll showing 47 percent of Nebraskans said they would vote for independent Dan Osborn, more than the 42 percent who said they’d support Sen. Deb Fischer.
Harris warns of ‘massive detention camps’ under Trump
A September NPR/PBS News/Marist College survey, however, showed Trump ahead nationally, 51 percent to 47 percent, among the bloc — a flip since the August version of the survey, which put Harris ahead,
Three campaign beliefs that need to end in 2024
Yet Republicans lost them by 2 points (47-49). This was after winning them in 10 consecutive elections with a Democrat in the White House.Â
Campaigns · 118th Congress
At the Races: Recapping the season
> Wild card: An Impact Research poll released Thursday by House Majority PAC, a super PAC supporting Democratic candidates, found a virtual dead heat, with Kiggans at 48 percent and Cotter Smasal at 47
‘How nice our criminals are’: Takeaways as Trump, Harris begin post-Labor Day sprint
Harris led in both Georgia and Nevada by a single point, 48 percent to 47 percent. They were tied in Pennsylvania. Harris had larger leads in Wisconsin (6 percentage points) and Michigan (5 points).
Campaigns · 118th Congress
At the Races: Number crunch
Democrats point to an internal poll from mid-August showing Tran and Steel tied at 47 percent and say Biden’s decision to drop his presidential bid is providing Tran and other down-ballot candidates with
Once a liability for Democrats, abortion gets new life with Harris as nominee
Rick Scott over Democratic challenger Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, 47 percent to 43 percent.Â
Takeaways from first Harris interview, Trump’s vow to ‘produce babies’
A YouGov survey of registered voters released Wednesday put Harris up 47 percent to 45 percent nationally, but the company added a key finding in a summary of the poll: "Trump holds a small lead among
Trump jumps off script right from the start of event at border wall
A national polling calculation by FiveThirtyEight showed Harris has opened a 47 percent to 43.7 percent lead over Trump, with independent candidate Robert Kennedy Jr. netting 4.8 percent.
Tim Walz did not come across as a rising star nearly 19 years ago
Walz won by nearly 6 points, 53-47 percent, in the Democratic wave that swept his party into the majority by gaining 31 seats nationwide.Â
Campaigns · 118th Congress
At the Races: Meanwhile, on the House battlefield
Rick Scott over Democrat Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, 47 percent to 43 percent.
Campaigns · 118th Congress
At the Races: New guy on the ticket
The poll of 420 registered voters found 47 percent supported Molinaro and 38 percent backed Riley, with 14 percent undecided.
The sad folly of Joe Biden’s defiance
Polling analyst Nate Silver, in a New York Times op-ed last week, pointed out that Democratic Senate candidates in rough races are running better than Biden in 46 of the 47 quality surveys.
‘Roll the dice’: Three things to watch as Biden’s candidacy hangs in balance
(That’s a total of 47 years.)
As younger members of Congress leave, veteran members are trying to get back in
Virginia Democrat Abigail Spanberger, 44, and North Dakota Republican Kelly Armstrong, 47, are both leaving the Hill to run for governor of their respective states.
Is this the year Montana Republicans oust Tester?
In 2020, conservatives jumped to 47 percent, which helped Trump win the state.
A threat to democracy no one is talking about
In 2016, 18 percent of the electorate had an unfavorable view of both Trump and former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton; Trump won those voters 47 percent to 30 percent.