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Outlier or early warning? Late Iowa Poll confounds 

Ann Selzer shocked the political world on Saturday evening with a poll showing Vice President Kamala Harris ahead of former President Donald Trump by 3 points in Iowa, 47 percent to 44 percent.

Campaigns · 118th Congress

At the Races: Please bet responsibly

The Independent Center released a poll showing 47 percent of Nebraskans said they would vote for independent Dan Osborn, more than the 42 percent who said they’d support Sen. Deb Fischer.

The sad folly of Joe Biden’s defiance

Polling analyst Nate Silver, in a New York Times op-ed last week, pointed out that Democratic Senate candidates in rough races are running better than Biden in 46 of the 47 quality surveys.