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Opinion · 117th Congress

Will Biden’s 2022 midterms be worse than Obama’s in 2010?

the election year, voters’ confidence in Obama’s handling of the economy, the No. 1 issue, was heading south as voters said they had more confidence in Republicans to handle the economy by 5 points (47

Opinion · 117th Congress

Election Day 2022 will be Independents’ Day

Our July 6-8 Winning the Issues survey saw Biden’s job approval underwater, with 40 percent of independents approving the job he is doing and 47 percent disapproving. 

Opinion · 116th Congress

Biden at bat: ‘There is no joy in Mudville’

Among the remaining 3 out of 4 voters who said a candidate’s policy positions on issues were more important, Trump won 53 percent to 47 percent, which explains, in part, why Biden was unable to translate

Opinion · 115th Congress

What Constitutes a Wave Election?

In 2016, we saw a similar dynamic when 18 percent of the country had an unfavorable view of both Trump and Clinton, eventually breaking for Trump 47 percent to 30 percent.

Opinion · 115th Congress

Opinion: Beware the Dog Days of August

The most recent survey for Winning the Issues showed Democrats leading Republicans on handling health care (49 percent to 33 percent), while the GOP is stronger on the economy (47 percent to 38 percent

Opinion · 115th Congress

Opinion: How Much Longer Can the Trump Coalition Hold?

strategies, increased support for Republicans among non-college voters is generally more significant because while it will shrink over time, it still represents a very large percentage of eligible voters: 47