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Congress · 116th Congress

Why do so many people believe Trump will win?

Even Sanders, who is outside the political mainstream, leads Trump by 6 to 9 points in most surveys (again excluding Emerson, which always seems to be an outlier).

Congress · 116th Congress

A year out, here’s four scenarios for 2020 elections

  Some $6 billion in ad spending and countless hours of media coverage and activism could keep today’s government in place after the 2020 elections, as has happened in 17 out of 30 presidential election

Congress · 116th Congress

Take campaign plans with a grain of salt

Voters may not be convinced Trump’s Ukraine shenanigans justify removal from office, but his net disapproval rating has jumped nearly 6 points in the RealClearPolitics average since Speaker Nancy Pelosi

Congress · 116th Congress

More non-Spanish speaking migrants are crossing the border

EL PASO, Texas — When a 6-year-old Indian migrant girl named Gurupreet Kaur was found dead in the Arizona desert by Border Patrol agents in June, the tragedy surprised many — mostly because of where the

Campaigns · 116th Congress

The fight for the Senate grows more interesting

The Democratic Party had a net favorable of 6 points (51 percent favorable/45 percent unfavorable), while the GOP had a net unfavorable of 13 points (41 percent favorable/54 percent unfavorable.