After Montana, Senate Matchups Nearly Set for November Battles
Thad Cochran’s seat will run together on a nonpartisan ballot on Nov. 6. If appointed GOP Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith, Republican state Sen. Chris McDaniel and former Democratic Rep.
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Politics · 115th Congress
Democratic Poll: Mike Levin Ahead in California’s 49th District
single digits were Democratic businessman Paul Kerr at 7 percent and two Republicans, San Diego County Supervisor Kristin Gaspar at 7 percent and San Juan Capistrano City Council Member Brian Maryott at 6
Politics · 115th Congress
Analysis: Why You Should Focus on Independents
Sure, there were many more Democrats than Republicans in the 2008 (+7 points) and 2012 (+6 points) exit poll samples, when Barack Obama won the White House and was re-elected comfortably.
Politics · 115th Congress
Helmer Internal Poll Shows Democrat Beating Comstock
Virginia’s 10th District voted for Hillary Clinton in 2016, but Comstock beat her Democratic opponent by almost 6 points that year. Inside Elections with Nathan L.
Opinion · 115th Congress
Opinion: Moms, Guns and 2018
It’s having 5-year-olds and knowing that turning 6 means it can happen, because it did happen, at Sandy Hook. Six is the youngest it could happen, isn’t it?
Politics · 115th Congress
5 Things to Watch in Tuesday’s Primaries
The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee took the unusual step of releasing research on Moser ahead of the March 6 primary to highlight her past comments it viewed as damaging in a general election
Opinion · 115th Congress
Opinion: It’s Too Soon to Bet the Ranch on the Midterms
The CBS survey (May 3-6) showed 40 percent of each of the parties’ supporters as “very enthusiastic” about voting, with 23 percent of each somewhat enthusiastic.
Politics · 115th Congress
DCCC Takes Sides to Avoid Shutout in Crowded California Primary
The poll surveyed 400 likely primary voters from May 6-8 via landline and cell phones. The margin of error was 4.9 percent.
Politics · 115th Congress
Rothenberg’s Dangerous Dozen Open House Seats
6. Arizona’s 2nd (Martha McSally, R) McSally is running for the Senate in what could be a terrible Republican year, both in her state and nationally.
Politics · 115th Congress
All the Voter ID Laws in May Primary States, Explained
Voters who forget their photo ID at home can cast a provisional ballot and return within 6 days to provide identification and have their vote counted.
Politics · 115th Congress
5 Things to Watch on Primary Day This Tuesday
He’s spent nearly $6 million of his own money on the race, and likely much more by the time Tuesday comes and goes.
Politics · 115th Congress
Hawley Circulates Polling Memo Showing Tight Missouri Senate Race
Eight percent backed former Libertarian presidential candidate Austin Petersen, while 6 percent backed Courtland Sykes, who garnered national media attention for a lengthy statement calling feminists “
Politics · 115th Congress
Could a Blue Wave Sweep Away More GOP Women?
A Republican woman won Arizona’s 8th District special election Tuesday night, although Debbie Lesko’s 6-point margin of victory for a solidly GOP seat raised party concerns about the tough election
Politics · 115th Congress
Texas Governor Wants Blake Farenthold to Pay for Special Election
Farenthold resigned on April 6 amid an Ethics Committee probe into the congressman and his office for alleged sexual harassment, inappropriate comments to staff, and discrimination based on gender
Policy · 115th Congress
Medicaid Won’t Look the Same Next Year
Expansion advocates must file signatures by April 30 in Idaho, June 22 in Montana and July 6 in Nebraska to get on the November ballot.
Politics · 115th Congress
Analysis: Trump Numbers Are Up. And Down. But Really Unchanged.
An April 6-9 Quinnipiac poll showed Democrats with a 3-point advantage, 46 percent to 43 percent. Another Quinnipiac poll conducted three weeks earlier gave them a 6-point edge.
Opinion · 115th Congress
Opinion: When the World of Politics Collides With the Real One
Besides checking in regularly on Roll Call’s 2018 Election Guide by Nathan Gonzales to see who “leaning” and who’s “likely,” look for the moments up to and including Nov. 6. But don’t blink.
Politics · 115th Congress
Corker Won’t Campaign Against Democratic Ex-Governor Who Wants to Succeed Him
Toward the end of the breakfast, Corker was asked about what he plans to do with his own campaign war chest, which still has about $6 million in the bank, and he said he had not given it any thought
Opinion · 115th Congress
Opinion: A Message for Midterm Poll Jumpers
And yet in our fast-forward era, many residents of TV green rooms forget that Nov. 6 is still more than six months away.
Nathan’s (Mostly) Political One-Liners: Push Polls, Endorsement Misses and CAVA
Mike Coffman, received a dismal 6 percent of delegates at the Republican state assembly over the weekend, well short of the 30 percent threshold needed to make the GOP primary ballot for governor.