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Politics · 115th Congress

A Back-of-the-Envelope Look at How the House Could Flip

Journal poll found Democrats with an 8-point advantage on that question, while CNN and Fox News put it at 11 points, Quinnipiac had Democrats with a 9-point lead, and The Economist/YouGov had the margin at 6

Politics · 115th Congress

Does Iowa Still Matter to Democrats?

Obama won Iowa again in 2012, but by a slimmer 6-point margin. The state lost a House seat after the 2010 census and thrown together in the same district two years later, Republican Rep. 

Politics · 114th Congress

2 Months to Go: The 10 Most Vulnerable House Members

Fall Forecast: The Top 10 Most Vulnerable House Members [jwp-video n=”1″] Colorado’s Mike Coffman, for example, sits in a district President Barack Obama won by 6 points in 2012.