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Campaigns · 116th Congress

At the Races: Voters gonna vote

But a number of competitive races expected to be called within hours after polls close should provide an early indication of where things are headed.

Campaigns · 116th Congress

Trump’s worst possible closing message

Toward the end of that cycle, Republicans explicitly argued that voters should not give Bill Clinton a “blank check” — which meant electing a Republican Congress to “check” Clinton.

Campaigns · 116th Congress

Election experts doubt Supreme Court decides White House race

Yet this year has several reasons why legal challenges could be more likely, including a pandemic across the country, a president raging, without evidence, about voting fraud, and the potential threat

Campaigns · 116th Congress

2 GOP senators’ strategies diverge, but both are in peril

Gardner convinced a majority of his fellow GOP senators this year to back legislation to permanently fund national park maintenance, he broke with longstanding party orthodoxy — which held that Congress should

Campaigns · 116th Congress

Excuse me, but is that a partisan wave building?

Both presidential campaigns are focused on that handful of states (along with a few others, like Georgia and Ohio), and we should all watch for changes in public opinion in those crucial places.

Campaigns · 116th Congress

Is the Trump-Biden cake baked yet?

He rarely seeks to expand his coalition and often comes off as spiteful and petty, a man without empathy, a champion of religion who never goes to church.

Campaigns · 116th Congress

Despite debate talk, Biden virus approach differs from Trump’s

unusually scathing editorial in the New England Journal of Medicine on Wednesday blasted the Trump administration, noting how quarantine measures have been inconsistent and restrictions were loosened without

Campaigns · 116th Congress

In year of surprises, a win by Joe Biden should not be one

The unexpected 2016 presidential result should have been a reminder to think about future potential election scenarios in terms of probabilities rather than binary outcomes. 

Campaigns · 116th Congress

At the Races: Land of Kennedy? Louisiana

Don’t vote twice: That’s the message from election officials in North Carolina following comments this week in the state by Trump, who suggested his supporters should try to vote twice, by mail and

Campaigns · 116th Congress

Trump needs a convention bounce

But Trump’s victory should be a lesson in probability rather than a call to ignore data. We should reject the false choice between following the data and being open-minded about less likely results.