CNN Says Obama, Clinton Tied; We Round up the Other Polls

Posted May 1, 2008 at 6:18pm

Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama are in a statistical tie in the race for the Democratic nomination, according to a CNN/Opinion Research poll conducted April 28-30. Obama leads among registered Democrats 46 percent to 45 percent with a margin of error of 4.5 percent. Obama had led by 7 points in this poll in mid-March, but while he has dropped 6 points, Clinton has not gained ground. And the poll said 6 percent “volunteer” that they want neither to be the nominee.

So now, the host of major news organizations (plus Pew Research) that regularly do polls have weighed in and this is how CNN compares to the others:

**New York Times/CBS News:** Obama led 46 percent to 38 percent with 16 percent undecided among Democrats who have voted in a primary or plan to. Margin of error was 5 percent. Among all registered Democrats, they are essentially tied.
**Wall Street Journal/NBC News:**Obama leads among all Democrats 46 percent to 43 percent with 7 percent undecided. Margin of error was 3.1 percent.
**Fox News/Opinion Dynamics:** Clinton led 44 percent to 41 percent with 8 percent saying “neither” and 7 percent “don’t know.” Margin of error was 5 percent.
**Pew Research:** Obama led 47 percent to 45 percent with a 5 point margin of error.
**Gallup Daily Tracking Poll:** Clinton over Obama 49 percent to 45 percent with a 3 point margin of error.