New Hampshire: Hodes Under 50, Leads Horn in GOP Poll

Posted September 22, 2008 at 6:56pm

A new Republican poll shows radio host Jennifer Horn (R) running close to freshman Rep. Paul Hodes (D) in the 2nd district.

In a poll conducted Sept. 16-17 by Public Opinion Strategies for Horn and the National Republican Congressional Committee, Hodes had 43 percent of the vote and Horn had 39 percent. The survey of 300 likely voters carried a 5.7-point margin of error.

In a memo, GOP pollster Rob Autry called the fact that Hodes is running below 50 percent “a clear indication that he is vulnerable.”

According to the pollster, 36 percent of likely voters had a favorable view of Hodes, while 27 percent were unfavorable. Twenty-one percent had no opinion, and 15 percent had never heard of him. Republicans did not release what Horn’s favorable/unfavorable rating was in the poll, nor did they indicate what her name identification was.

Hodes upset then-Rep. Charles Bass (R) in 2006. The northern New Hampshire district leans Democratic in White House elections, but there is plenty of political volatility in the state this year, and the Congressional race could be close through Election Day.