The National Republican Congressional Committee has reserved $30 million in television airtime this fall, signaling it is preparing to go on offense in 17 districts and defend nine more.
The NRCC has put its marker down in many of the same House districts
as its counterpart
, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee. It’s a good indicator of which races both parties think will be most competitive in November.
But there are a few competitive districts not included in the NRCC’s initial reservations, such as Iowa’s 3rd District — an open seat currently held by a Republican that is one of this cycle’s few
races. Also, the NRCC’s television reservations total $13.5 million less than what the DCCC has already reserved for this fall. The committees will likely shift and add more airtime as individual races develop during the rest of the cycle.
But the DCCC has raised more money than the NRCC this cycle. As of the end of April, the DCCC had $43.3 million in the bank, while the NRCC had $32.3 million.
Here are the districts where the NRCC has already reserved airtime for this fall: Offense
Arizona’s 1st District: $1.95 million on Phoenix broadcast in Democratic Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick’s district. Republicans will select their nominee in an Aug. 26 primary. (Rothenberg Political Report/Roll Call rating: Tilts Democrat )
Arizona’s 2nd District: $1 million on Tucson broadcast in Democratic Rep. Ron Barber’s district. Barber faces retired Air Force Colonel Martha McSally in November. (Rating: Tossup )
California’s 7th District: $960,000 on Sacramento broadcast in freshman Democratic Rep. Ami Bera’s district. Bera faces former GOP Rep. Doug Ose in November. (Rating: Leans Democrat )
California’s 36th District: $490,000 on Palm Springs broadcast in freshman Democratic Rep. Raul Ruiz’s district. Ruiz faces former Capitol Hill aide Brian Nestande in November. (Rating: Democrat Favored )
California’s 52nd District: $1.7 million on San Diego broadcast in freshman Democratic Rep. Scott Peters’ district. Peters faces former San Diego City Councilmember Carl DeMaio in November. (Rating: Tossup )
Florida’s 26th District: $1.4 million on Miami broadcast and cable in Democratic Rep. Joe Garcia’s district. (Rating: Tilts Democrat )
Georgia’s 12th District: $800,000 on Augusta and Savannah broadcast in longtime Democratic Rep. John Barrow’s district. Barrow faces construction company owner Rick Allen in November. (Rating: Leans Democrat )
Illinois’ 10th District: $800,000 on Chicago broadcast and cable against freshman Democratic Rep. Brad Schneider’s district. Schneider faces former GOP Rep. Bob Dold in November. (Rating: Tilts Democrat )
Illinois’ 12th and 13th Districts: $1.44 million on St. Louis broadcast stations, which covers both districts. In the 12th District, Republicans are targeting freshman Democratic Rep. Bill Enyart (Rating: Leans Democrat ). In the 13th District, Republicans are defending freshman Republican Rep. Rodney Davis (Rating: Leans Republican ).
Minnesota’s 7th and 8th Districts: $3.2 million on Minneapolis broadcast. The 7th District is held by longtime Democratic Rep. Collin C. Peterson (Rating: Leans Democrat ); while the 8th District is held by Democratic Rep. Rick Nolan (Rating: Leans Democrat ).
New Hampshire’s 1st and 2nd Districts, and Massachusetts’ 6th District: $2.2 million on Boston-Manchester broadcast and cable. New Hampshire’s 1st District is held by Democratic Rep. Carol Shea-Porter (Rating: Tilts Democrat ); while the 2nd District is held by Democratic Rep. Ann McLane Kuster (Rating: Leans Democrat ). Massachusetts’ 6th District is held by Democratic Rep. John F. Tierney (Rating: Tilts Democrat ).
New York’s 1st District: $1.1 million on New York cable. The district is held by Democratic Rep. Tim Bishop. Republicans will choose their nominee on Tuesday. (Rating: Leans Democrat )
New York’s 21st District: $780,000 on Albany and Watertown broadcast. This is an open-seat race to replace retiring Democratic Rep. Bill Owens. Democrats will nominate filmmaker Aaron Woolf, while Republicans will choose their nominee in Tuesday’s primary. (Rating: Tossup )
West Virginia’s 3rd District: $1.6 million on Bluefield-Beckley and Charleston-Huntington broadcast in Democratic Rep. Nick J. Rahall II’s district. Rahall faces state Sen. Evan Jenkins in November. (Rating: Tossup )
California’s 21st District: $1.025 million on Bakersfield and Fresno broadcast and cable in freshman Rep. David Valado’s district. The Republican faces former Capitol Hill aide Amanda Renteria in November. (Rating: Tilts Republican )
Colorado’s 6th District: $3.3 million on Denver broadcast in GOP Rep. Mike Coffman’s district. Coffman faces former state House Speaker Andrew Romanoff in November. (Rating: Tossup )
Florida’s 2nd District: $900,000 on Tallahassee and Panama City broadcast in GOP Rep. Steve Southerland II’s district. He faces Democratic attorney Gwen Graham in November. (Rating: Leans Republican )
New York’s 19th District: $1.04 million on Albany broadcast and cable in GOP Rep. Chris Gibson’s district. Gibson faces venture capitalist Sean Eldridge in November. (Rating: Tilts Republican )
Pennsylvania’s 6th and 8th Districts and New Jersey’s 3rd District: $1.8 million on Philadelphia broadcast, a media market that includes three GOP-held House seats. Pennsylvania’s 6th District is held by retiring GOP Rep. Jim Gerlach (Rating: Leans Republican ); while the 8th District is held by Republican Rep. Michael G. Fitzpatrick (Rating: Republican Favored ). New Jersey’s 3rd District is an open-seat race to replace retiring GOP Rep. Jon Runyan. (Rating: Tossup )
Virginia’s 10th District: $2.8 million on Washington broadcast and cable to defend the open-seat race to replace retiring GOP Rep. Frank R. Wolf. (Rating: Leans Republican )