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Outlier or early warning? Late Iowa Poll confounds 

Ann Selzer shocked the political world on Saturday evening with a poll showing Vice President Kamala Harris ahead of former President Donald Trump by 3 points in Iowa, 47 percent to 44 percent.

Campaigns · 118th Congress

At the Races: Recapping the season

> Wild card: An Impact Research poll released Thursday by House Majority PAC, a super PAC supporting Democratic candidates, found a virtual dead heat, with Kiggans at 48 percent and Cotter Smasal at 47

Campaigns · 118th Congress

At the Races: Number crunch

Democrats point to an internal poll from mid-August showing Tran and Steel tied at 47 percent and say Biden’s decision to drop his presidential bid is providing Tran and other down-ballot candidates with

Campaigns · 118th Congress

At the Races: New guy on the ticket

The poll of 420 registered voters found 47 percent supported Molinaro and 38 percent backed Riley, with 14 percent undecided.

The sad folly of Joe Biden’s defiance

Polling analyst Nate Silver, in a New York Times op-ed last week, pointed out that Democratic Senate candidates in rough races are running better than Biden in 46 of the 47 quality surveys.

Senate falls short on IVF vote

The final vote was 48-47, with Republicans Susan Collins of Maine and Lisa Murkowski of Alaska joining Democrats in voting to end debate and move forward on the legislation.

Growing GOP presidential field helps Donald Trump

In the crucial March 15 primaries, Kasich won his state’s winner-take-all primary (47 percent to 36 percent for Trump), while Trump won winner-take-all Florida (46 percent to 27 percent for Rubio and 17

Policy · 118th Congress

Biden administration open to legislation after Ohio derailment

The rule came after one of the deadliest train derailments, in 2013, when a train carrying crude oil dislodged from its tracks in the small town of Lac-Mégantic, Quebec, killing 47 people and engulfing