Don’t Sweat the Election Night Surprises
So when it comes to surprises, it’s best to assume that there will be some, but it might not be worth spending all your time trying to identify where they’ll materialize on Nov. 6.
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Politics · 115th Congress
The 10 Most Vulnerable Senators: Cruz, Menendez Make the List
Race rating: Toss-up6. Sen. Jon Tester, D-Mont. Montana’s two-term senator switches places with his colleague from West Virginia, which is largely a reflection of Manchin’s strength.
Politics · 115th Congress
The 10 Most Vulnerable House Incumbents: Blum’s Still the One
Race Rating:Tilts Democratic6. Mike Coffman, R-Colo. Coffman has been an elusive Democratic target in the past, but things are looking worse for him this year.
Politics · 115th Congress
Brat Supporter’s Death Threat to Spanberger Reappears on Facebook Page
At 7:05 p.m. on September 6, a Facebook user named Rodney Arrington, who frequently comments on Brat’s official page, appeared to threaten the Virginia Republican’s Democratic challenger, Abigail
Politics · 115th Congress
Trump Mocks Kavanaugh Accuser, Takes Ownership of Midterms
She and Espy are virtually tied (25 percent to 24 percent), with McDaniel only 6 percentage points behind Hyde-Smith.
Politics · 115th Congress
How Will Kavanaugh Shape the Midterms?
There probably will be about a month between Kavanaugh’s confirmation and Nov. 6, which should give many voters an opportunity to refocus on other issues, be they health care, immigration or President
Politics · 115th Congress
Trump: Democrats in ‘Blind Rage’ to ‘Destroy’ Brett Kavanaugh
In a signal he views the Tennessee Senate race largely as a turnout contest, the president urged rallygoers to make sure their family members, neighbors and co-workers get to the polls on Nov. 6.
Politics · 115th Congress
At the Races: Land of 10,000 Races
She also analyzed whether vulnerable House Republicans have been given votes this week on their own bills, which they could tout leading up to Nov. 6.
Politics · 115th Congress
GOP Super PAC Airs First North Carolina Ad for House Race
He won the general election two years ago by 13 points, outperforming President Donald Trump, who carried the district by 6 points.
Politics · 115th Congress
House Democrats Briefly Consider Upping Speakership Vote Threshold, Drop Proposal for Now
Most members in the room suggested the proposal would best be discussed after the Nov. 6 midterm elections — with incoming freshmen included.
Politics · 115th Congress
New York’s 19th District Neck and Neck, Poll Shows
Delgado also held a 3-point edge in a likely voter model based on midterm turnout history and led by 6 points in another model that factored in a Democratic voting surge.
Politics · 115th Congress
Surprisingly, the Senate Is Now in Play
Donnelly led GOP businessman Mike Braun by 6 points in a recent NBC News/Marist survey, and if the Democrat votes to confirm Brett Kavanaugh, as many expect, it could be enough to prove the senator
Politics · 115th Congress
Democratic Poll Shows Neck-and-Neck Race for DeSantis’ Florida Seat
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research surveyed 400 likely voters from Sept. 4-6, with 31 percent reached by cell phone. The poll had a margin of error of plus or minus 4.9 percentage points.
Politics · 115th Congress
6 Takeaways From the 2018 Primary Season, So Far
Ocasio-Cortez spent about $197,000 through June 6, the last reporting period before her primary win, a good portion of the $301,000 she raised.
Politics · 115th Congress
Poll: Democrat Joe Donnelly Leading Trump-Backed Mike Braun in Indiana
Donnelly led by a 6-point margin, 49 percent to 43 percent in a head-to-head match-up with Braun. And among registered voters, he edged Braun, 48 percent to 42 percent.
Politics · 115th Congress
A Back-of-the-Envelope Look at How the House Could Flip
Journal poll found Democrats with an 8-point advantage on that question, while CNN and Fox News put it at 11 points, Quinnipiac had Democrats with a 9-point lead, and The Economist/YouGov had the margin at 6
Politics · 115th Congress
Massachusetts Democrats Strain to Stand Out in Rare Open-Seat Race
Juana Matias, an immigrant from the Dominican Republic who’s backed by BOLD PAC and the Congressional Black Caucus PAC, took 6 percent.
Politics · 115th Congress
Democratic Poll: GOP Rep. Fred Upton in Competitive Race in Michigan
Upton’s lead grew to 6 points when factoring in third-party candidate Stephen Young of the U.S. Taxpayers Party.
Politics · 115th Congress
Could This Be the Year Montana Sends a Democrat to the House?
In one of the first special elections of the Trump presidency, folk musician Rob Quist attracted millions of dollars in small-dollar donations and kept the margin to 6 points (much narrower than the 16
Politics · 115th Congress
Evan Jenkins’ Seat in West Virginia to Remain Vacant Until January
Jenkins’ staff, however, will remain in place in the district until the Nov. 6 election results are certified, a process which usually takes roughly two weeks.