A Whirlwind Tour Of Eight Super Tuesday States
Rasmussen Reports has done quite a bit of polling on the Super Tuesday states, although some of the surveys are a bit dated. But we thought it might be useful to wrap some of them up for you.
Three common threads that jump out in the Democratic race are these: Hillary Clinton leads big among Hispanics, Barack Obama among blacks, and voters cite the economy as the top issue, usually by a double-digit margin over the number two issue, Iraq. It’s worth checking out Gallup’s analysis on race and ethnicity.
So here we go with a mix of Rasmussen’s Republican and Democratic Results:
– **California:**In a poll conducted after the Jan. 29 Florida vote but before John Edwards dropped out, Clinton had a small 3 point lead over Obama, within the 4 point margin of error. She held a 27 point lead among Hispanics, underlining a major challenge Obama has in this race in California and other states. The economy was cited as the number one issue by 46 percent of voters, while 29 percent named Iraq. This contrasted with a Jan. 23-26 survey by Gallup showing Clinton with a big lead.
– **New York:** A Jan. 16-17 poll had Clinton way ahead in her home state by 51 percent to 30 percent. She led Obama among all groups except blacks. Gallup also had Clinton leading bigtime in New York.
– **New Jersey:** Clinton led Obama 45 percent to 27 percent, but trailed him among blacks by 59 percent to 39 percent in a jan. 15 poll.
– **Illinois:** In a poll conducted just before the Florida primary results, John McCain led Mitt Romney 34 percent to 26 percent, with a 4 point margin of error. Mike Huckabee polled 16 percent. Only 54 percent of voters said they were sure they’d stick with their choice.
– **Connecticut:**In a poll conducted Jan. 28, just after the South Carolina outcome, Clinton and Obama were locked in a tie, at 40 percent each. On the GOP side, McCain led Romney by a big 42 percent to 26 percent margin, even though Romney was a neighboring state governor. McCain led Romney across all demographic groups.
– **Florida:**Clinton, who won kind of a neither-here-nor there contest in the actual primary because of the state’s dispute with the Democratic National Committee, led Obama 47 percent to 25 percent in a Jan. 27 poll.
– **Missouri:**In a Jan. 24 poll, Clinton led Obama 43 percent to 24 percent with a 4 percent margin of error.
– **Georgia:**Obama led Clinton 41 percent to 35 percent in a Jan. 22 poll. Obama led among blacks by 59 percent to 28 percent, while Clinton led among whites by 44 percent to 25 percent.
– **Alabama:** Clinton led Obama 43 percent to 28 percent in a Jan. 23 poll. Margin of error was 4 points.