California, Missouri Competitive In Final Round Of Super Tuesday Polls

Posted February 5, 2008 at 2:56pm

The final round of state polls for Super Tuesday are coming in, showing a tight John McCain-Mitt Romney race is California and disagreement about whether Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama has the upper hand there. Both races are competitive in Missouri, Obama has the upper hand in Georgia and still has a chance in New Jersey, according to these polls. One poll has Mike Huckabee ahead in Tennessee.

– **California:** Zogby has Obama ahead of Clinton 49 percent to 36 percent, in a state where a number of polls have differed. The margin of error is 3.3 percent.An American Research Group poll had the reverse: Clinton ahead of Obama by 47 percent to 39 percent with a 4 point margin of error. SurveyUSA agrees, putting Clinton ahead 52 percent to 42 percent. On the Republican, side where the polls also have differed, Zogby says Romney is in front of McCain in this one, 40 percent to 33 percent with Huckabee at 12 percent. 8 percent are undecided and the margin of error is 3.4 percent. The American Research Group poll had Romney ahead of McCain 33 percent to 32 percent with Huckabee at 16 percent. Margin of error is 4 percent. SurveyUSA also shows Romney effectively tied with McCain, leading him 39 percent to 38 percent with Huckabee at 11 percent. The margin of error is 4.2 percent.
– **Missouri:** The Zogby poll says Clinton leads Obama 45 percent to 42 percent, with a margin of error of 3.4 percent. On the Republican side, This race remained competitive, with McCain at 34 percent, Huckabee at 27 percent and Romney at 25 percent, with a 3.4 percent margin of error. Huckabee leads Romney among “very conservative” voters, Zogby said.
– **New Jersey:** The Zogby poll shows Clinton regaining a lead over Obama 46 percent to 41 percent – after being tied in an earlier survey. Obama showed much strength with younger voters. Margin of error is 3.4 percent. On the Republican side, McCain has a big 53 percent to 24 percent lead over Romney with Huckabee at 5 percent.
– **New York:** Same as New Jersey here when it comes to the Republicans – McCain ahead of Romney 56 percent to 20 percent with Huckabee at 7 percent, according to Zogby.
– **Georgia:** Obama leads Clinton 49 percent to 29 percent, picking up a point in a Zogby poll while Clinton fell by two. Obama had 68 percent of black voters who made up half the sample.
– Tennessee: Clinton leads Obama 59 percent to 37 percent, with a 4 point margin of error in an American Research Group poll. Huckabee leads McCain 36 percent to 30 percent with Romney at 27 percent. Also a 4 point margin of error.