Right Now, McCain Would Run A Close Race Against Either Dem

Posted February 12, 2008 at 10:47am

Are you ready for November? A lot, of course, could change, but if the contest began today, a USA Today/Gallup poll conducted Feb.8-10 shows that any match-ups between John McCain and either Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama would fall within the survey’s 4 point margin of error. McCain leads Clinton 49 percent to 48 percent among all likely voters, and trails Obama 50 percent to 46 percent. This outcome is pretty consistent with earlier hypothetical matchups by Gallup and others (see Time Magazine’s Feb. 1-4 poll).. McCain’s showing is impressive on at least one point which is that some other polls have indicated the Democrats are more enthusiastic about their choices.

An Associated Press-Ipsos poll conducted Feb.7-10 said Obama was ahead of McCain 48 percent to 42 percent while Clinton matched up against him 46 percent to 45 percent, with a 3.1 percent margin of error.

USA Today says its poll with Gallup also showed that Obama had passed Clinton among Democrats for the first time in its national survey, although within the margin of error. Obama led 47 percent to 44 percent with the margin of error at 5 points.