American Research Group says its polling on Feb.15-16 shows Hillary Clinton leading Barack Obama by 49 percent to 43 percent, although Obama has gained 3 points since ARG’s Feb.6-7 survey. Seven percent are undecided and the margin of error is 4 percent. Obama leads among men by 48 percent to 42 percent, and black voters by 85 percent to 9 percent. Clinton leads among white voters 52 percent to 40 percent, among women 55 percent to 39 percent, and among Hispanic voters, 50 percent to 44 percent. ARG’s Dick Bennett says white voters represent 89 percent of the Democratic sample, black voters represent 7 percent and Hispanic voters represent 4 percent.
On the GOP side, ARG says McCain leads Huckabee 46 percent to 42 percent, a difference that is the same as the margin of error. In its Feb.6-7 poll, when Mitt Romney was still in the race, McCain had 59 percent to Romney’s 29 percent, and Huckabee had only 4 percent – less than Ron Paul. So, Huckabee appears to profited most from Romney’s withdrawal and he has also made inroads among voters who describe themselves as Independents.
For comparison, WISC-TV in Madison put out a poll conducted Feb.13-14 showing Obama with a 47 percent to 42 percent lead, and McCain further ahead of Huckabee at 48 percent to 32 percent.
To add some flesh-and-blood of the campaign to these polling numbers, check out these reports today by the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel about the contest over who is most “electable” and the Green Bay Press Gazette about Huckabee’s courtship of Wisconsin’s right.