If There Were Re-Votes? Clinton Ahead In Fla., Tied With Obama In Mich.

Posted March 7, 2008 at 3:40pm

If Michigan and Florida were to hold new primaries, Hillary Clinton would have a big advantange in Florida, but would run neck-and-neck with Barack Obama in Michigan, according to a pair of Rasmussen Reports polls. The two states, of course, are ones that were stripped of their right to seat delegates at the Democratic convention because they moved up the dates of their primaries in violation of party rules.

**Florida:** Clinton leads Obama 55 perrcent to 39 percent in a poll conducted March 6. The margin of error is 4 percent. Clinton leads by 37 points among women while Obama leads by 12 among men. And the famous question about who-would-you-want-to-answer-the-phone-at-the-White-House-at 3 a.m. if there was a foreign policy crisis? Clinton led Obama 45 percent to 35 percent. Fourteen percent of Democrats said they’d prefer John McCain.

**Michigan:** An entirely different story here. Clinton and Obama tie at 41 percent each in a poll also conducted March 6 with a 4 percent margin of error. Clinton has a much smaller lead among women than in Florida – 7 points – and trails Obama by 8 points among men.