A pair of new polls are portraying dramatically different realities for targeted Orlando-area Rep. Ric Keller (R-Fla.), who is facing a surprisingly tough challenge this cycle from self-funding lawyer Alan Grayson (D).

In a Democratic ballot test released Friday, Grayson led Keller 52 percent to 41 percent. The Benenson Strategy Group (D) poll, which interviewed 402 likely voters for the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee on Oct. 21-22, had a 4.9-point margin of error

“Voters recognize Ric Keller’s failure to take care of Florida’s veterans, children and working families and are ready for someone who can get things done for the middle class,” DCCC spokeswoman Kyra Jennings said in a statement. “The people of Central Florida deserve better than Ric Keller’s consistent string of broken promises and Bush rubber stamps, and are obviously looking for a change.”

But not so fast, Republicans say. While Democrats were busy touting Grayson’s double-digit lead on Friday, Keller’s campaign released a poll of its own that showed the incumbent ahead — if only narrowly.

In the Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll conducted Oct. 21-22, Keller was in front of Grayson 47 percent to 43 percent, with 9 percent of those polled still undecided.

The GOP firm interviewed 400 likely voters and the survey had a 4.9-point margin of error.

“The more voters have seen and heard about Alan Grayson these past few weeks, the more they’ve rejected his ultra-liberal message,” Keller spokesman Bryan Malenius said in a statement. “Grayson wants to cut off funding for our troops in harm’s way, block drilling offshore and in Alaska, and raise taxes on Central Florida families. Those views are simply out of step with voters in this swing district.”