New Poll Shows Teague, Pearce Tied

Posted April 22, 2010 at 4:26pm

Freshman Rep. Harry Teague (D-N.M.) began April statistically tied with former Rep. Steve Pearce (R), according to polling numbers released Thursday by the Congressman’s campaign.

The new poll, which was in the field April 6-8, showed Teague ahead 47 percent to 46 percent, with 8 percent of respondents undecided. The survey of 500 likely voters was conducted for Teague by Hamilton Campaigns and had a 4.4-point margin of error.

The campaign released the poll a day after National Republican Congressional Committee officials chided the Congressman for sitting on his numbers after it was reported that his pollsters had recently been in the field.

“Were the poll results he got back this quarter confirmation that everyone is right in thinking that he is a one-term wonder?” NRCC spokeswoman Joanna Burgos said in a statement Wednesday.

But Teague’s latest numbers indicate that the incumbent’s position has improved over the past eight months. A Hamilton Campaigns poll from August found Pearce ahead of Teague 52 percent to 42 percent.

Pearce’s campaign released polling information in February that showed the former Congressman ahead 48 percent to 44 percent. A Democratic polling firm based in North Carolina released a public poll on the New Mexico race at about the same time in February, and that poll showed Pearce ahead 43 percent to 41 percent.

Teague’s latest poll showed the Congressman with a 60 percent favorable/33 percent unfavorable rating. That’s up from 52 percent to 37 percent, according to August’s Hamilton Campaigns poll. Pearce had a 55 percent to 31 percent favorable/unfavorable rating in early April, down from a 61 percent to 29 percent split in August.

“Today, Teague is in a better position for re-election, better known and viewed more positively than he was in August 2009,” David Beattie, Teague’s pollster, wrote in his memo on the results on Thursday.