Poll: Clinton Makes Gains in Swing States, Leads Overall

She does better among Democrats than Trump does among Republicans

The most recent Quinnipiac poll had better news for Hillary Clinton in three key swing states. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call file photo)
The most recent Quinnipiac poll had better news for Hillary Clinton in three key swing states. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call file photo)
Posted June 21, 2016 at 7:34am

A day after Donald Trump ousted his campaign manager Corey Lewandowski, Hillary Clinton is up in the latest polls.  

A Quinnipiac University poll published June 21 shows Clinton with an 8 point lead — 47 percent to 39 percent — over the presumptive Republican nominee in the largest presidential swing state, Florida.  

The former secretary of State also made gains in Ohio, where she is tied with Trump at 40 percent, according to the poll. The numbers from Pennsylvania were closer with Clinton at 42 percent to Trump’s 41 percent.  


Lewandowski No Longer a Good Fit for Trump


Quinnipiac pollsters noted a flip on the traditional narrative of Republicans scoring higher than Democrats when it comes to party loyalty. In these three key states, Clinton is doing better among Democrats than Trump is among Republicans. Quinnipiac attributed the difference to infighting between Trump and some GOP leaders.  

The Quinnipiac poll also asked voters from these swing states about their preferred candidate on three of the biggest issues of the race.  

On the economy, voters think Trump would be better at creating jobs by a significant margin. Both Ohio and Pennsylvania have him leading by 13 points. In Florida, Trump is up by 8 points.  


Poll: Clinton Leads Among Middle Income Rust Belt Voters


But when it comes to immigration, voters in all three states give Clinton higher marks. Each swing state has Clinton up 7 points over Trump.  

On foreign policy, the numbers, on average, get muddled. Who is better capable of handling the Islamic State? 51 percent think Trump would be more effective.  

But in case of an international crisis, Clinton is the more trusted candidate; she leads by 15 points.  

This gap is even larger if you ask the voters whom they trust with nuclear weapons: Clinton leads by a little more than 21 points, on average.  


Like Trump, Clinton Struggles With Independent Voters


One would think that being trustworthy and having high moral standards would go hand-in-hand, but the numbers flip when voters express their thoughts on Trump and Clinton.  

Trump leads on the question of who is more honest and trustworthy by slightly more than four points on average. However, Clinton leads by 10 points when voters were asked who has a higher moral standard.  

However, on trustworthiness and morality, roughly 17 percent of these swing state voters are unsure about whom they trust more or who has a higher moral fiber.

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