Study: Obamacare Repeal Could Leave 30 Million Without Coverage

Urban Institute looked at using reconciliation to repeal health care law

Posted December 7, 2016 at 8:59am

A new study shows partially repealing the 2010 health care law through reconciliation would cause almost 30 million people to lose health insurance.

The study from the nonpartisan Urban Institute found that of the 29.8 million who would lose their insurance, 22.5 million would lose coverage because of the loss of premium tax credits, Medicaid expansion and the individual mandate.

Another 7.3 million would lose their coverage through the collapse of the insurance market. 

Among the people who would be most affected, 80 percent of those who would lose coverage do not have college degrees and 56 percent of those who would lose coverage are non-Hispanic whites.

In addition, the study said most insurance companies would likely not participate in the marketplace in 2018 if the individual mandate is not enforced, even if the tax credits and cost-sharing reductions are still in place.

House Majority Leader Kevin McCarthypreviously indicated that using reconciliation to replace the health care law would be unlikely, although taking that path would be easier because it would require only 51 votes in the Senate.