Skip to content

Meet More Likely New Members of Congress

For all of them, winning the primary was tantamount to winning the general election

Clockwise from top left, Ben Cline, Anthony Gonzalez, Deb Haaland, Dan Meuser, Rashida Tlaib, David Trone, John Rose, Andy Levin, Michael Guest and Madeleine Dean. (Courtesy Bill Clark/D.A. Banks/CQ Roll Call, Anthony Gonzalez for Congress, Meuser for Congress, Rashida Tlaib for Congress, David Trone for Congress, John Rose for Congress, Andy Levin for Congress, Friends of Michael Guest and Madeleine Dean for United States Congress)
Clockwise from top left, Ben Cline, Anthony Gonzalez, Deb Haaland, Dan Meuser, Rashida Tlaib, David Trone, John Rose, Andy Levin, Michael Guest and Madeleine Dean. (Courtesy Bill Clark/D.A. Banks/CQ Roll Call, Anthony Gonzalez for Congress, Meuser for Congress, Rashida Tlaib for Congress, David Trone for Congress, John Rose for Congress, Andy Levin for Congress, Friends of Michael Guest and Madeleine Dean for United States Congress)

With control of the House up for grabs and the number of competitive seats growing to 86, many congressional hopefuls have two more months of grueling politicking to look forward to as they barrel toward Election Day.

But not all of them.

Some 39 candidates are on firmer footing in their bids for open House seats. Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales rates their races solid for either party. For all of them, securing the primary nod was tantamount to winning the general election.

Some of the sure shots, especially on the Democratic side, have drawn national attention. Those include New York’s Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Massachusetts’ Ayanna Pressley, Minnesota’s Ilhan Omar and Connecticut’s Jahana Hayes

Of course, some of these sleeper contests once thought safe could turn between now and November. In May, Roll Call put out a list of 10 House hopefuls who looked like safe bets to enter Congress next year. Since then, West Virginia’s Carol Miller now finds herself facing a tougher-than-expected challenge from Trump-voting Democrat Richard Ojeda in a Likely Republican race.

Here’s a look at 10 lesser-known Republican and Democratic nominees who appear assured of winning their general elections.

Ben Cline

Virginia’s 6th District 

Madeleine Dean

Pennsylvania’s 4th District

  • The state representative easily won her Democratic primary for the newly drawn seat in May, ending former Rep. Joseph M. Hoeffel’s comeback bid.
  • Her victory in the safe Democratic district means Pennsylvania appears poised to add at least one woman to its all-male congressional delegation next year.
  • Dean initially ran for lieutenant governor but switched to the 4th District race after the state Supreme Court introduced the new congressional map.

Anthony Gonzalez

Ohio’s 16th District

Michael Guest

Mississippi’s 3rd District

Deb Haaland

New Mexico’s 1st District

Andy Levin

Michigan’s 9th District

  • Businessman Levin overcame a challenge from a former state lawmaker endorsed by EMILY’s List to win the Democratic primary in August and appears poised to succeed his father, Rep. Sander M. Levin, who is retiring after 18 terms.
  • A member of the Levin family has served in Congress since 1979, when his uncle, Carl Levin, began the first of his six Senate terms.
  • This is his first run for elected office, though he previously served as director of the Michigan Energy, Labor and Economic Growth Department.

Dan Meuser

Pennsylvania’s 9th District

  • A onetime Pennsylvania revenue secretary, Meuser easily won a three-way Republican primary for the newly drawn seat in May.
  • As of the second quarter ending June 30, the Luzerne County businessman had loaned his campaign $985,000.
  • This isn’t Meuser’s first bid for Congress. He previously ran from the old 10th District in 2008 to take on Democratic Rep. Chris Carney, but lost in the GOP primary.

John Rose

Tennessee’s 6th District

Rashida Tlaib

Michigan’s 13th District

  • Tlaib won a six-way Democratic primary in August to succeed former Rep. John Conyers Jr., who resigned last year amid allegations of sexual harassment. She faces no Republican opponent in the fall.
  • The daughter of Palestinian immigrants, she would be the first Muslim-American woman to serve in Congress, along with Minnesota’s Omar.
  • She previously served three terms in the Michigan House before retiring due to term limits.

David Trone

Maryland’s 6th District

  • The wine magnate won a crowded eight-way Democratic primary in June in the race to succeed Rep. John Delaney, who is running for president.
  • He’s poured more than $11 million of his own money into the race, more than any House candidate ever — except for Trone himself, who spent $13 million in his unsuccessful bid for the neighboring 8th District in 2016.
  • He revealed late last month that he’s being treated for localized cancer but will remain in the race.

Simone Pathé, Bridget Bowman, Eric Garcia and Griffin Connolly contributed to this report.

Watch: House Ratings Change in Favor of Democrats

[jwp-video n=”1″]

Recent Stories

Trump’s next attorney general pick meets with key GOP senators

Klobuchar poised to become No. 3 Senate Democrat

House Republicans can still investigate Bidens after Hunter pardon

Anna Eshoo looks back on 32 years in Congress

Biden lands in Africa, but US foreign policy now runs through Trump’s Mar-a-Lago estate

Supreme Court sounds ready to back FDA’s e-cigarette rejection