Democrat Debbie Mucarsel-Powell narrowly led two-term Republican Rep. Carlos Curbelo, well within the margin of error, in a new Democratic poll of Florida’s 26th District. 

Mucarsel-Powell led the incumbent 50 percent to 48 percent in the poll conducted for the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee’s independent expenditure arm and obtained first by Roll Call. 

GBA Strategies surveyed 500 likely voters between Sept. 27 and Oct. 1. The poll had a margin of error of plus or minus 4.4 percentage points. 

A recent poll from Mucarsel-Powell’s campaign also showed the race essentially tied, with the Democrat leading Curbelo 49 percent to 48 percent.  

Both polls found an improvement for Mucarsel-Powell since the DCCC last released a poll of the race in August. In that survey, also conducted by GBA Stratgies, Curbelo was ahead 48 percent to 41 percent. The polling memo stressed that the survey was conducted before Mucarsel-Powell was on the air, pointing to the informed ballot as evidence she could move voters once she was better known. 

As the Miami Herald reported earlier this week, Mucarsel-Powell and her allies have been outspending Curbelo for the past several weeks. 

Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales rates the race Tilts Republican. 

Watch: 24 House Ratings Change in Favor of Democrats, One Month Out