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Joe Biden wearing a suit and tie

Campaigns

3 political handicapping mistakes to avoid

Beware of focusing too much on messaging, general ballot tests and new election models

By Stuart Rothenberg
Posted February 11, 2020 at 6:00am

A Pizza Ranch restaurant with a pro-Trump sign in Winterset, Iowa, in January 2016.  Donald Trump went on to win Iowa in the general election, beating Hillary Clinton by more than 9 points. (Al Drago/CQ Roll Call file photo)

Congress

It’s still difficult to see Trump losing Iowa in November

By Stuart Rothenberg
Posted January 22, 2020 at 5:00am
People watch President Donald Trump’s Independence Day celebration in front of the Lincoln Memorial in July. (Caroline Brehman/CQ Roll Call file photo)

Campaigns

Why working-class whites aren’t giving up on Trump

By Stuart Rothenberg
Posted September 10, 2019 at 6:00am
Yes, Joe Biden worked with segregationists to pass legislation. No, that doesn’t mean he was a monster, Murphy writes. It means he was a senator. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call file photo)

Campaigns

The 2020 Race: Still tilting Democratic

By Stuart Rothenberg
Posted June 11, 2019 at 5:30am
How Sen. Susan Collins, R-Maine, deals with questions about her support for Supreme Court Justice Brett M. Kavanaugh will likely influence her re-election prospects, and, by extension, control of the Senate, Rothenberg writes. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call file photo)

The 8 Senate races likely to determine control of the chamber

By Stuart Rothenberg
Posted June 4, 2019 at 5:30am
Abortion has emerged as a major issue heading into the 2020 election, which will likely benefit Democrats politically if people see abortions rights as under credible threat, Rothenberg writes. (Sarah Silbiger/CQ Roll Call file photo)

Will the Supreme Court save the GOP from itself on abortion?

By Stuart Rothenberg
Posted May 21, 2019 at 5:00am
Former Vice President Joe Biden has made appealing to unions a big part of his campaign, but that strategy might have its limitations. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call file photo)

Biden, unions and the politics of 2020

By Stuart Rothenberg
Posted May 7, 2019 at 5:00am
Republicans have used the “socialist” label on New York Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and the rest of the Democratic Party, reprising the tactics of the late campaign consultant Arthur Finkelstein, Rothenberg writes. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call file photo)

Arthur Finkelstein reprised with GOP’s ‘socialists’ cries

By Stuart Rothenberg
Posted April 30, 2019 at 5:00am
Speaker Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., leaves her weekly news conference in the Capitol Visitor Center on Thursday March 14, 2019. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call)

Nancy Pelosi: the Democratic Party’s undisputed leader

By Stuart Rothenberg
Posted March 26, 2019 at 5:04am
The more the Democratic Party embraces the policies of presidential nominees like Sen. Bernie Sanders, the less swing voters will be thinking of the 2020 election as a referendum on President Donald Trump, Rothenberg writes. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call file photo)

Democrats try to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory

By Stuart Rothenberg
Posted March 12, 2019 at 5:04am