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Campaigns · 117th Congress

Four weeks out, ratings change in a dozen races

Overall, our Senate projection remains Republicans +1 seat to Democrats +1 seat. Two of the three outcomes within that likely range would keep Democrats in control.

Campaigns · 117th Congress

Retiring GOP senators steer clear of primaries — for now

Of the states with retiring Republican senators, Trump lost Pennsylvania by 1 point while winning Alabama by 26 points, Missouri by 15 points, Ohio by 8 points and North Carolina by 1 point.