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Outlier or early warning? Late Iowa Poll confounds 

Ann Selzer shocked the political world on Saturday evening with a poll showing Vice President Kamala Harris ahead of former President Donald Trump by 3 points in Iowa, 47 percent to 44 percent.

Campaigns · 118th Congress

At the Races: And then there were two

CA 47: An internal Republican poll shows Scott Baugh leading Dave Min in the Toss-up race in California’s 47th District. Trump transition: Maryland Rep.

Trump’s biggest problem remains Trump

A noteworthy 47 percent of those who responded selected Vice President Harris, while only 38 percent identified former President Trump.

Five races to watch Tuesday in Georgia, Oklahoma and Virginia

Jack got nearly 47 percent but needed more than 50 percent to win the nomination outright. So he faces a runoff Tuesday against state Sen. Mike Dugan, who got about 25 percent in the primary.

A threat to democracy no one is talking about

In 2016, 18 percent of the electorate had an unfavorable view of both Trump and former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton; Trump won those voters 47 percent to 30 percent.