Updated: State-by-State General Election Match-Ups
There are two new polls on the delegate-rich state of California and, unsurprisingly, both Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton have big leads there over John McCain.
**Public Policy Institute of California:** Obama leads McCain 54 percent to 37 percent with 7 percent undecided, in this poll conducted May 12-18. In the unlikely event Hillary Clinton was the nominee, should would be leading McCain 51 percent to 39 percent with 7 percent undecided. The margin of error is 3 percent. Both Obama and Clinton enjoy advantages of around 20 points over McCain among independents. While Obama and Clinton both do equally well among women voters against McCain, Obama is a stronger candidate against him among men. Obama is viewed favorably by 59 percent of voters compared to 36 percent who have a dimmer view of him, Clinton is viewed unfavorably by 51 percent and favorably by 46 percent, while McCain is viewed unfavorably by 53 percent compared to 42 percent with positive views of him.
**Rasmussen Reports:** Obama leads McCain 52 percent to 38 percent with 7 percent preferring someone else, while Clinton leads McCain 54 percent to 35 percent with 7 percent choosing “other,” in a Rasmussen Reports survey conducted May 19-20. The margin of error is 4.5 percent. Obama is viewed favorably by 57 percent of voters compared to 42 percent who view him unfavorably and McCain is viewed unfavorably by 52 percent of voters compared to 46 percent who view him favorably. However, Rasmussen’s findings on Clinton differs significantly from PPIC, saying she is viewed favorably by 58 percent and unfavorably by 41 percent. Democrats believe Obama is the stronger candidate against McCain by a 50 percent to 42 percent margin.
Nearly two-thirds of voters want the next President to bring American troops home from Iraq in four years compared to 29 percent who place more importance on winning the war. Thirty-four percent believe that is somewhat or very likely to happen under McCain while 64 percent believe it is likely to happen under Obama. Only 38 percent believe that the war could be won under McCain and 25 percent believe that for Obama.