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Race Ratings Changes in 8 Gubernatorial Contests

Brownback is running for re-election in Kansas. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call File Photo)
Brownback is running for re-election in Kansas. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Uncertainty reigns in gubernatorial races where anywhere from one to a dozen incumbent governors could be defeated for re-election.  

With just a few days to go, we’re changing our Rothenberg Political Report/Roll Call rating in eight races. Six of the moves are toward Republicans and two significant moves are toward Democrats. Kansas and Alaska move to the pure Tossup category.

  • Alaska (Gov. Sean Parnell, Republican): From Tossup/Tilts Republican to pure Tossup
  • Iowa (Gov. Terry Branstad, Republican): From Republican Favored to Safe Republican
  • Kansas (Gov. Sam Brownback, Republican): From Tossup/Tilts Republican to pure Tossup
  • Maine (Gov. Paul LePage, Republican): From Tossup/Tilts Democratic to pure Tossup
  • Maryland (Open; Gov. Martin O’Malley, a Democrat, cannot seek another consecutive term): From Democrat Favored to Leans Democratic
  • New Hampshire (Gov. Maggie Hassan, Democrat): From Safe Democrat to Democrat Favored
  • New Mexico (Gov. Susana Martinez, Republican): From Republican Favored to Safe Republican
  • South Carolina (Gov. Nikki Haley, Republican): From Leans Republican to Republican Favored

You can read more detailed analysis of the races in the Oct. 29 issue of the Rothenberg Political Report ($).

Roll Call Election Map: Race Ratings for Every Seat


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