Midterm elections have patterns, but the political calculus we use needs a little adjusting sometimes. A delayed redistricting cycle, former President Donald Trump’s influence over key Senate and House races and changes to several states’ voter access laws make the 2022 campaign particularly hard to gauge.

Nathan L. Gonzales, elections analyst for CQ Roll Call, joins us on the Political Theater podcast to discuss. 

Show Notes:

• When we’ll know how much Trump’s support is worth
• Why comparing the 2022 midterm dynamics to 1966 is risky
• Previewing the 2022 battle for the Senate
• Democrats lack leverage on top priority
• Sooner or later, Congress may have to settle fights over voting