Opinion · 119th Congress
The voters’ voice: Gerrymandering and the state of democracy
“As a mapmaker, I can have more of an impact on an election than a campaign, than a candidate.
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“As a mapmaker, I can have more of an impact on an election than a campaign, than a candidate.
In 2025, it was voter unhappiness with the Trump administration's efforts to bring down the cost of living that gave Democrats a winning night Nov. 4.
It makes one wonder if he realizes that exit polls showed that Democrats made up only 33 percent of the electorate in the 2022 election, the smallest percentage from 1972 forward.
In its April 21-25 survey, Quinnipiac asked people to cite what they saw as the most urgent issue facing the country. Only 5 percent selected abortion.
Voters, overall, said they didn’t believe the statement, 62 percent to 21 percent. If we were grading credibility, Biden and his Democratic colleagues on the Hill would be getting a big fail.
In 2016, liberal Democrats were 18 percent of the country, and conservative Republicans were 21 percent (22 percent at the congressional level).
America is setting records with as many as 4 million vaccinations in a single day. And most important, Washington is beginning a lengthy debate over the proper level of taxation of corporations.
She won the state by about 4 million votes and lost the popular vote in the rest of the country by about 1.4 million.
Thirty straight months of 9 percent or higher unemployment is quite a contrast with today’s 21 consecutive months of 4 percent or less unemployment.
Forty-three percent were unsure whether the tax cuts affected their federal tax bill, and 21 percent believed their taxes increased.
A majority of independents favored capitalism 56 percent to 13 percent, but over the past year, 4 percent moved toward socialism.
By the Friday before the election, Nov. 4, that advantage had slipped to 2 points.
In exit polls from the 2008 presidential election, 85 percent of voters said they were worried about the direction of the nation’s economy, with 50 percent “very worried.”
We also know that in the remaining five counties, turnout was roughly 21 percent lower than 2014, which for a special election would normally still be considered a good turnout.
And the trend in this year’s congressional election — a race once thought to be a shoo-in for Democrats — has been moving toward the GOP.
Now, fast-forward to these same four polls, taken March 16-21. Three-and-a-half months later, the Democrats’ generic ballot lead has been cut almost in half, coming in at around 5 points.
Context and perspective are crucial in analyzing election data.