Opinion · 118th Congress
In elections, a win is a win. And Republicans won
As a result, independents split their vote between both parties, and Republicans lost them by 2 points (47 percent to 49 percent).
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Opinion · 117th Congress
It was all about the independents, again
What makes 2022 different is the fact that nationally, independents broke with past election behavior by voting for the party holding the White House by a slim margin of 49 percent to 47 percent,
Campaigns · 117th Congress
Too close to call? When is a dead heat really a dead heat?
On the other hand, when an incumbent leads 49 percent to 47 percent, the challenger needs to win nearly all undecided voters or flip voters who have already made up their minds to vote to reelect
Opinion · 117th Congress
‘What happened to your country?’: The poisoned well of the Trump era
Both figures are up sharply since 2016, when 47 percent of Republicans called Democrats “immoral,” and 35 percent of Democrats used that word for GOP members. “Dishonest.”
Opinion · 117th Congress
Will Biden’s 2022 midterms be worse than Obama’s in 2010?
the election year, voters’ confidence in Obama’s handling of the economy, the No. 1 issue, was heading south as voters said they had more confidence in Republicans to handle the economy by 5 points (47
Opinion · 117th Congress
Kamala Harris is right: Virginia result will resonate in 2022, 2024 and beyond
whom they had more confidence to handle that issue, Youngkin easily won four of the five top issues over McAuliffe by solid margins: economy/jobs (55 percent to 44 percent); education (53 percent to 47
Opinion · 117th Congress
GOP has to make 2022 about policy, not personality
Given the huge Democratic edge in party registration — 47 percent Democrat, 24 percent Republican and 29 percent independent — any California Republican looking to win statewide has to not only do well
Opinion · 117th Congress
Election Day 2022 will be Independents’ Day
Our July 6-8 Winning the Issues survey saw Biden’s job approval underwater, with 40 percent of independents approving the job he is doing and 47 percent disapproving.
Opinion · 116th Congress
Biden at bat: ‘There is no joy in Mudville’
Among the remaining 3 out of 4 voters who said a candidate’s policy positions on issues were more important, Trump won 53 percent to 47 percent, which explains, in part, why Biden was unable to translate
Opinion · 116th Congress
To win, Trump must focus on the economy in campaign’s remaining days
Almost 1 in 5 voters had an unfavorable view of both candidates, and they eventually broke for Trump 47 percent to 30 percent.
Opinion · 116th Congress
Democratic voters are channeling Mick Jagger
Only slightly better for Democrats, with 31 percent saying they are satisfied, while 47 percent said they can’t “get no satisfaction.”
Opinion · 116th Congress
As Russia fog lifts for Trump, will Democrats finally see reality?
However, among the 51 percent of the electorate who said the economy was “good” as opposed to “excellent,” Republicans won them by a mere 51-47 percent margin.
Opinion · 116th Congress
This isn’t Nancy Pelosi’s first impeachment rodeo
More recently, a USA Today/Suffolk University poll, released Monday and conducted March 13-17, found that 50 percent of voters thought the Mueller investigation was a “witch hunt,” while 47 percent
Opinion · 116th Congress
Trump’s latest self-inflicted wound: Medicare cuts
Enough Republicans are likely to join the 47 Democrats to offer a thumbs-down verdict on Trump using his emergency powers to circumvent congressional appropriations and fund the wall.
Opinion · 116th Congress
How big and little lies, plus cash, prop up the ‘American dream’
Last week, it was the announcement of a 47-month sentence for Paul Manafort, President Trump’s former campaign chairman, after he was found guilty of orchestrating a multimillion-dollar fraud.
Opinion · 116th Congress
After decades of taxing the rich, the ‘Big Blues’ face the music
During the same time period, Florida gained $156.1 billion in wealth, while Texas benefitted from an almost $47 billion wealth increase.
Opinion · 116th Congress
New York City’s progressive elites gambled and lost over Amazon
For those interested in building majority coalitions, the survey found that independents approved the deal by a 64-29 percent margin, more than Democrats at 56-37 percent and Republicans at 47-42
Opinion · 116th Congress
When shutdown politics add to economic woes, nobody wins
At the end of November, voters picked them to better handle jobs by 8 points (47-39 percent).
Opinion · 116th Congress
A Kamala Harris candidacy is a test, and not just for the candidate
And it was 47 years ago this week that Shirley Chisholm launched her campaign for president.
Opinion · 116th Congress
Trump’s reading list: Start with dictionary, look up ‘wall’
Though Romney himself has dipped his toe in the swamp of “birtherism” in his presidential campaign against Barack Obama, written off “47 percent” of Americans he characterized as seeing themselves