Most of the polls now seem to be falling in line in reporting that Barack Obama is leading Hillary Clinton in Wisconsin. An American Research Group poll conducted Feb.17-18 now shows Obama leading Clinton 52 percent to 42 percent with 5 percent undecided and a 4 point margin of error. ARG’s Feb.15-16 poll had Clinton ahead 49 percent to 43 percent. The new result squares with other polls today. Men comprise 46 percent of the likely Democratic voters and Obama leads among them 59 percent to 37 percent. White voters make up 88 percent of the sample and Obama leads there 49 percent to 45 percent, exactly the poll’s margin of error.
On the Republican side, this survey shows John McCain regaining some of his footing. In the Feb.15-16 survey, McCain led Mike Huckabee by only 46 percent to 42 percent, but the new poll has him ahead 51 percent to 43 percent – still a decent showing by Huckabee, reminiscent of his challenge to McCain in Virginia where a lot of Republicans listed family and moral values as an important issue, as several polls have shown to be the case in Wisconsin.