Skip to content

Colorado: GOP Poll Shows Senate Race Is in a Dead Heat

After many months and several polls that showed Rep. Mark Udall (D) with a sizeable lead over former Rep. Bob Schaffer (R) in the open Senate race, a GOP- sponsored survey taken last week had the two candidates in a statistical tie.

The Tarrance Group, in a poll commissioned by the National Republican Senatorial Committee, found Udall ahead of Schaffer by just 1 point, 40 percent to 39 percent. The survey of 495 likely voters was taken Sept. 2-3 and had an error margin of 4.5 points.

“Schaffer actually has a slight advantage in terms of intensity, as his ‘definite’ vote is 3 points higher than Udall’s definite vote,” according to the polling memo prepared for the NRSC.

Matthew Miller, a spokesman for the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee, dismissed the poll as having no credibility. Miller noted two independent polls taken in August, one by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research and the Denver Post and another by Suffolk University, showed Udall with a healthy lead over Schaffer.

“With two independent public polls showing Udall ahead by 10 and 8 points, this poll should be taken with the same credence as Bob Schaffer’s assertion that [convicted lobbyist] Jack Abramoff didn’t arrange his parasailing trip to the Mariana Islands,” Miller said.

The Tarrance Group’s survey also revealed:

• In the race to replace retiring Sen. Wayne Allard (R-Colo.), the generic ballot test showed voters favored a Democratic candidate 44 percent to 42 percent.

• In the race for Colorado’s nine electoral college votes, Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) led Sen. Barack Obama (D-Ill.), 47 percent to 45 percent.

Recent Stories

Not your father’s (or grandfather’s or great-grandfather’s) GOP

Bandaged Trump met with thunderous reaction at RNC light on policy plans

Congress launches investigations of security failure at Trump rally

Running mate Vance is ardent Trump backer with brief Hill tenure

Florida federal judge tosses out Trump classified documents case

Capitol Lens | Calm before the storm