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GOP Poll Shows Competitive Race in Nevada’s 4th District

Hardy-Horsford rematch represents potential pickup for Republicans

Former GOP Rep. Cresent Hardy is running in Nevada’s 4th District. (D.A. Banks/CQ Roll Call file photo)
Former GOP Rep. Cresent Hardy is running in Nevada’s 4th District. (D.A. Banks/CQ Roll Call file photo)

Republicans are largely on defense this cycle, but a new GOP poll shows they have a potential pickup opportunity in Nevada’s 4th District.

Two former lawmakers are facing off for the open seat in suburban Las Vegas: Democrat Steven Horsford and Republican Cresent Hardy. The internal poll for the Hardy campaign and the National Republican Congressional Committee showed Horsford and Hardy in a dead heat. 

Both candidates were tied at 41 percent, with 17 percent of those surveyed undecided, according to the polling memo provided first to Roll Call. The poll only tested Hardy and Horsford, and not any of the four third- or no-party candidates who will be on the November ballot.

Horsford won the newly created seat in 2012, but was unseated by Hardy two years later. Hardy, in turn, also only served a term before losing in 2016 to Democrat Ruben Kihuen, who is retiring amid sexual harassment allegations

The 4th is one of the few districts where Republicans are on offense, even though Hillary Clinton carried it by 5 points in 2016. Kihuen won by 4 points. Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales rates the race Likely Democratic

The poll also found that President Donald Trump’s approval rating was split among respondents, with 48 percent approving and 47 percent disapproving. 

Moore Information, which conducted the poll, surveyed 400 likely voters Aug. 4-7 through a mix of landline and cell phone interviews. The margin of error was plus or minus 5 points. 

Watch: No More Blue Wave Metaphors, 2018 Is About Too Many GOP Fires

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