Campaigns · 118th Congress
Beware of overanalyzing what 2023 elections mean for 2024
Tate Reeves 47 percent to 43 percent in the initial ballot test.
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Tate Reeves 47 percent to 43 percent in the initial ballot test.
Valadao was leading by 3 percentage points when The Associated Press called the race on Nov. 21 at 9:47 p.m. Eastern Standard Time.
Polling in July by Co/efficient suggested the vote could be close, with 47 percent of likely primary voters in favor, 43 percent against and 10 percent still undecided.
Newhouse led in Washington’s 4th District with an estimated 47 percent of the vote counted at 12:12 a.m., AP results showed, while Trump-backed challenger Loren Culp was third with 22 percent behind Democrat
Tim Pawlenty won reelection by 1 point (and with less than 47 percent of the vote). In 2020, Biden defeated President Donald Trump by 7 points. Â
The National Republican Congressional Committee announced its initial list of 47 Democratic targets last month.
Biden led Trump 47-42 percent in early May in the national average compared with 49-40 percent in mid-July. Of course we don’t have national elections in this country.
Republicans currently control the Senate 53-47, with two independents caucusing with the Democrats.