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Campaigns · 119th Congress

Senate Democrats still have difficult path to majority

At the time of the 2010 elections, Obama's job rating was underwater, according to Gallup, with 45 percent approving and 47 percent disapproving.  ↵↵Trump's current standing is undeniably worse.

Campaigns · 119th Congress

12 things I think I think after Tuesday’s elections

↵↵Only 41 percent of Virginia voters said Jones' texts were disqualifying, according to the exit polls, and Republican incumbent Jason Miyares received 47 percent of the vote.

Campaigns · 117th Congress

How vulnerable House incumbents fared in the 2022 midterms

Valadao was leading by 3 percentage points when The Associated Press called the race on Nov. 21 at 9:47 p.m. Eastern Standard Time.

Campaigns · 117th Congress

Don’t rule out a GOP Senate wave

But in the Senate, Democrats won eight seats, taking them from 47 seats to 55 seats and the majority.

Campaigns · 117th Congress

New lines, new numbers, new ratings in Iowa

The new 2nd has a narrow Republican bent, considering Trump would have carried it 51 percent to 47 percent in 2020 while Hubbell would have won it by a narrower 48.8 percent to 48.6 percent in 2018

Campaigns · 117th Congress

Why comparing the 2022 midterm dynamics to 1966 is risky

ANALYSIS — Democrats lost 47 House seats in the 1966 midterm elections, and that result still “haunts” them, wrote Washington Post columnist Charles Lane recently. But should it?

Campaigns · 116th Congress

Ratings changes: Electoral College looking good for Biden

Biden led Trump 47-42 percent in early May in the national average compared with 49-40 percent in mid-July.  Of course we don’t have national elections in this country.

Campaigns · 116th Congress

Medicaid at issue in 2019 races for governor

Edwards took 47 percent of the vote, but Rispone and third-place finisher Rep. Ralph Abraham combined for a majority with 27 percent and 24 percent, respectively.