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Opinion · 117th Congress

It was all about the independents, again

What makes 2022 different is the fact that nationally, independents broke with past election behavior by voting for the party holding the White House by a slim margin of 49 percent to 47 percent,

Campaigns · 117th Congress

Too close to call? When is a dead heat really a dead heat?

On the other hand, when an incumbent leads 49 percent to 47 percent, the challenger needs to win nearly all undecided voters or flip voters who have already made up their minds to vote to reelect

Opinion · 117th Congress

Will Biden’s 2022 midterms be worse than Obama’s in 2010?

the election year, voters’ confidence in Obama’s handling of the economy, the No. 1 issue, was heading south as voters said they had more confidence in Republicans to handle the economy by 5 points (47