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Opinion · 118th Congress

The ‘spoiler caucus’ is creating chaos

However, they lost independents by 2 points (47 percent to 49 percent). This resulted in Republicans winning 222 seats, less than expected. 

Opinion · 117th Congress

It was all about the independents, again

What makes 2022 different is the fact that nationally, independents broke with past election behavior by voting for the party holding the White House by a slim margin of 49 percent to 47 percent,

Campaigns · 117th Congress

Too close to call? When is a dead heat really a dead heat?

On the other hand, when an incumbent leads 49 percent to 47 percent, the challenger needs to win nearly all undecided voters or flip voters who have already made up their minds to vote to reelect

Opinion · 117th Congress

Time for Biden to get out of the Build Back Better bubble

An Oct. 6-8 CBS News/YouGov survey of U.S. adults found Biden at 47 percent to 53 percent on infrastructure; 37 percent to 63 percent on Afghanistan; and 47 percent to 53 percent on climate change

Opinion · 117th Congress

Election Day 2022 will be Independents’ Day

Our July 6-8 Winning the Issues survey saw Biden’s job approval underwater, with 40 percent of independents approving the job he is doing and 47 percent disapproving. 

Opinion · 116th Congress

Biden at bat: ‘There is no joy in Mudville’

Among the remaining 3 out of 4 voters who said a candidate’s policy positions on issues were more important, Trump won 53 percent to 47 percent, which explains, in part, why Biden was unable to translate

Opinion · 116th Congress

This isn’t Nancy Pelosi’s first impeachment rodeo

More recently, a USA Today/Suffolk University poll, released Monday and conducted March 13-17, found that 50 percent of voters thought the Mueller investigation was a “witch hunt,” while 47 percent

Opinion · 116th Congress

Trump’s latest self-inflicted wound: Medicare cuts

Enough Republicans are likely to join the 47 Democrats to offer a thumbs-down verdict on Trump using his emergency powers to circumvent congressional appropriations and fund the wall.