Campaigns · 119th Congress
At the Races: Another health care election?
↵↵Texas two-step: Candidate filing closed this week in the Lone Star State, where elections are being reshaped by redistricting, retirements and realignments.
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↵↵Texas two-step: Candidate filing closed this week in the Lone Star State, where elections are being reshaped by redistricting, retirements and realignments.
Five seats represents the smallest initial Senate battleground going back to 1994, when The Rothenberg Political Report (Inside Elections’ predecessor) first started rating races.
Historically, the party that controls the White House loses seats in the first midterm election after its victory.
(Gutknecht had been swept into office by the 1994 Republican Revolution led by Newt Gingrich.) ’Huge help’ to swing seat candidates "The people who flipped seats and had to go out and reach outside of
Against everything that we were being told … this president had one of the most successful midterm elections for a Democratic president in 60 years," she said of Democrats keeping House Republicans to
Eight Democrat-held seats are considered vulnerable, according to Inside Elections’ initial ratings.
After all, Barack Obama’s and Bill Clinton’s job approvals were in the upper 40s when their first midterms rolled around, and Democrats lost 63 House seats in 2010 and 52 seats in 1994.
Peltola led Palin by almost 10 percentage points in the tally announced by the Alaska Division of Elections on Nov. 23. Arizona O’Halleran loses to Crane: Democratic Rep.
elections.
The majority they captured in 2010 held until the 2018 midterm elections, when Democrats captured the House but not the Senate in President Donald Trump’s first midterm election.
While the historical midterm trend for the president’s party is ominous in House elections, it’s more mixed in Senate races.
The departures come as Democrats face headwinds in the upcoming midterm election cycle.
The last Democrat elected governor of Florida was Lawton Chiles, in 1990 and 1994.
ANALYSIS — Political observers all know the party holding the White House tends to fare poorly during the midterm elections.
Plank in 1994 ‘contract’ Republicans keep coming back to term limits, in part, because it was a plank in their Contract with America in 1994, when the GOP won the House majority for the first time
Most partisan waves take place during midterm elections (e.g., 1958, 1966, 1974, 1994, 2006, 2010 and 2018).
That makes the state “competitive” in most elections, putting Florida in a different category than, say, Indiana and West Virginia.
The contest looks close, but I still find it difficult to believe Menendez will lose during a midterm election about Trump.
During the 17 midterm elections that have occurred since 1950, five have produced single-digit changes, while another four have been in the teens and low double digits.
Given the current political polarization, the normal midterm dynamic (which punishes the president’s party) and the added risk of losing open seats, it’s likely that most of those 25 GOP districts will