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Opinion · 118th Congress

The ‘spoiler caucus’ is creating chaos

However, they lost independents by 2 points (47 percent to 49 percent). This resulted in Republicans winning 222 seats, less than expected. 

Opinion · 117th Congress

It was all about the independents, again

What makes 2022 different is the fact that nationally, independents broke with past election behavior by voting for the party holding the White House by a slim margin of 49 percent to 47 percent,

Campaigns · 117th Congress

Too close to call? When is a dead heat really a dead heat?

On the other hand, when an incumbent leads 49 percent to 47 percent, the challenger needs to win nearly all undecided voters or flip voters who have already made up their minds to vote to reelect

Opinion · 117th Congress

Biden talks inflation: Another swing and a miss

Voters also did not believe that the president and Democrats will lower costs for working families and invest in strengthening the supply chain (40 percent believed, while 47 percent did not). 

Opinion · 117th Congress

Will Biden’s 2022 midterms be worse than Obama’s in 2010?

the election year, voters’ confidence in Obama’s handling of the economy, the No. 1 issue, was heading south as voters said they had more confidence in Republicans to handle the economy by 5 points (47

Opinion · 117th Congress

Time for Biden to get out of the Build Back Better bubble

An Oct. 6-8 CBS News/YouGov survey of U.S. adults found Biden at 47 percent to 53 percent on infrastructure; 37 percent to 63 percent on Afghanistan; and 47 percent to 53 percent on climate change

Opinion · 117th Congress

GOP has to make 2022 about policy, not personality

Given the huge Democratic edge in party registration — 47 percent Democrat, 24 percent Republican and 29 percent independent — any California Republican looking to win statewide has to not only do well

Opinion · 117th Congress

Election Day 2022 will be Independents’ Day

Our July 6-8 Winning the Issues survey saw Biden’s job approval underwater, with 40 percent of independents approving the job he is doing and 47 percent disapproving. 

Opinion · 117th Congress

As Democrats go hard left, Hispanics head to the center

A poll done last fall found that while liberal Democrats, who currently define their party, supported socialism over capitalism, 44 percent to 36 percent, Hispanics disagreed, supporting capitalism 47

Opinion · 117th Congress

Joe Manchin is a bona fide centrist. Deal with it

In a May 22-25 Fox News Poll, 47 percent of voters said the Biden administration was proposing too much of an increase in government spending, while only 33 percent said it was the right amount.

Opinion · 116th Congress

Biden at bat: ‘There is no joy in Mudville’

Among the remaining 3 out of 4 voters who said a candidate’s policy positions on issues were more important, Trump won 53 percent to 47 percent, which explains, in part, why Biden was unable to translate