Campaigns · 117th Congress
A noisy, but unproductive, Congress looms
Don't expect much major legislation during the next Congress — but plenty of investigations and noise ahead of the 2024 presidential race.
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Opinion · 117th Congress
The biggest enigma of 2022? How voters actually decide
Watching the start of canvassing in New Hampshire reminded me how little we understand how and why persuadable voters make their decisions.
Opinion · 117th Congress
We should stop asking too much of polling data
Jeff Dominitz and Charles F. Manski write that they are concerned the mystique of poll averaging is another example of big data mythologizing.
Opinion · 117th Congress
When will Republicans reject fear, ignorance, bigotry and smear?
After the attack on Paul Pelosi, the GOP needs a reckoning. They’re still riding the “four horsemen of calumny,” as one member put it in the 1950s.
Opinion · 117th Congress
Presidential approval, election mandates and the midterm dynamic
If history is a guide, Democrats will lose seats on Election Day. But history could be upended by our current politics.
Opinion · 117th Congress
‘Change that subject’: Biden’s economic pivot lasted 48 hours as midterms turn spooky for Democrats
Democrats' summer surge has ended, leading to a spooky Halloween season for the party as it faces a likely "red wave" on Election Day.
Opinion · 117th Congress
Democrats are haunted by inflation
When it comes to this scary topic, Speaker Nancy Pelosi and President Joe Biden can’t just “change the subject” ahead of the midterms.
Opinion · 117th Congress
Impeach Biden or investigate Trump? Voters have a choice to make
There are many issues on the ballot this November. But only two have a real chance of seeing action from Congress.
Campaigns · 117th Congress
Too close to call? When is a dead heat really a dead heat?
Is the House race between Democratic Rep. Elaine Luria and Republican challenger Jen Kiggans a dead heat? There are some ways to tell.
Campaigns · 117th Congress
‘Cousin Pookie’ problem still unsolved by Democrats as Biden tries on midterm coattails
Six years after Barack Obama's warning about "Cousin Pookie" not voting, Democrats worry about the same problem as midterm elections near.
Opinion · 117th Congress
A depressing return to a well-worn election playbook — because it works
From Tommy Tuberville’s “reparations” comments to skin-darkening ads, Republicans are leaning into racism ahead of the midterm elections.
Opinion · 117th Congress
Meet the new politics, same as the old politics
Regardless of the outcome of the 2022 midterm elections, the underlying tensions in U.S. politics will not change fundamentally.
Opinion · 117th Congress
‘Soft landing’ or ‘pain’?: Forecasting economy’s impact on midterms is trickier than the weather
President Biden and economists are predicting everything about a recession, making it tough to predict the economy's impact on the midterms.
Opinion · 117th Congress
The powerful legacy of the Jan. 6 committee
We saw cowardice and stonewalling, but also staggering political courage. How will history remember the House probe of the insurrection?
Campaigns · 117th Congress
So little Senate floor time left, so many Biden judicial nominees in limbo
Democratic leaders opted to cancel an October session, leaving tens of President Biden's judicial nominees in limbo.
Opinion · 117th Congress
Hispanics: The newest swing voter
Republicans have a real opportunity here. But they need to understand one thing — Hispanics are becoming independents.
Opinion · 117th Congress
Mind games: Trump, Biden keep letting us inside their heads
President Biden and former President Trump have had mental moments recently, as the most likely 2024 race gets off to a forgettable start.
Opinion · 117th Congress
The fight over faith in politics: Which faith? Whose values?
It was on full display in North Carolina last week, as Rep. Lauren Boebert and others took the stage at a faith-based policy conference.
Opinion · 117th Congress
Why Biden’s economic spin doesn’t hold up
When it comes to economic statistics, the Biden White House and congressional Democrats have turned cherry-picking into an art form
Opinion · 117th Congress
For those tempted to predict the midterms — don’t
Six weeks before the election, Democrats may be making a comeback — but don’t underestimate the weirdness of 2022.