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Campaigns · 117th Congress

Too close to call? When is a dead heat really a dead heat?

On the other hand, when an incumbent leads 49 percent to 47 percent, the challenger needs to win nearly all undecided voters or flip voters who have already made up their minds to vote to reelect

Campaigns · 117th Congress

At the Races: Closing time

WinRed, a GOP online fundraising platform, said its donors had ponied up $208.7 million in the third quarter, for a total of $444 million this cycle and amounting to a 47 percent increase over the group

Campaigns · 117th Congress

Who won the key races in Florida, New York and Oklahoma

GOP picks LaLota in 1st District: Nick LaLota, a Navy veteran and chief of staff to the Suffolk County Legislature, won the Republican primary for New York’s 1st District with 47 percent of the vote

Campaigns · 117th Congress

Purity vs. pragmatism in key race for governor

Tim Pawlenty won reelection by 1 point (and with less than 47 percent of the vote). In 2020, Biden defeated President Donald Trump by 7 points.  

Campaigns · 117th Congress

Michigan Democrats picking sides in Levin-Stevens primary

of abortion, the “enthusiasm gap” that made headlines earlier this year — an NBC News poll in January found that Republicans who were very interested in the midterms exceeded Democrats 61 percent to 47

Campaigns · 117th Congress

Democrats signal they plan to fight for NC Senate seat

An East Carolina University poll released Monday and taken May 19 and 20 found Budd leading Beasley 47 percent to 39 percent among registered voters, with another 12 percent undecided. 

Opinion · 117th Congress

Will Biden’s 2022 midterms be worse than Obama’s in 2010?

the election year, voters’ confidence in Obama’s handling of the economy, the No. 1 issue, was heading south as voters said they had more confidence in Republicans to handle the economy by 5 points (47

Campaigns · 117th Congress

Why the Marist Poll is worth considering

The survey had Biden’s overall job approval up 8 points (to 47 percent), his approval on his handling of Ukraine up 18 points (to 52 percent), his handling of the COVID-19 pandemic up 8 points (to

Opinion · 117th Congress

Biden’s State of the Union: a swing and a miss

In terms of inflation, while 47 percent said the president did enough to address inflation in his speech, 53 percent said he didn’t do enough. And this was with a Democrat-heavy sample. 

Campaigns · 117th Congress

Don’t rule out a GOP Senate wave

But in the Senate, Democrats won eight seats, taking them from 47 seats to 55 seats and the majority.