House ratings for the ’22 midterms

How elections analyst Nathan L. Gonzales sees every seat

Ratings have been published for the states in yellow. More will be added as the cycle continues. (Chris Hale/CQ Roll Call)
Ratings have been published for the states in yellow. More will be added as the cycle continues. (Chris Hale/CQ Roll Call)
Posted January 14, 2022 at 2:54pm

A delay in the release of census data pushed back when many states could redraw their House district lines. But as maps are being adopted, elections analyst Nathan L. Gonzales has begun rating the races in every district.

As a result of reapportionment, California, Illinois, Michigan, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania and West Virginia are each losing a seat in the House. Texas gains two seats, while Colorado, Florida, North Carolina, Montana and Oregon each gain one.

Below are links to the ratings we have published. This page will be updated.

  • Alabama
  • Alaska: At-large seat race rated Solid Republican
  • Arizona
  • Arkansas
  • California
  • Colorado
  • Connecticut
  • Delaware: At-large seat race rated Solid Democratic
  • Florida
  • Georgia
  • Hawaii
  • Idaho
  • Illinois
  • Indiana
  • Iowa
  • Kansas
  • Kentucky
  • Louisiana
  • Maine
  • Maryland
  • Massachusetts
  • Michigan
  • Minnesota
  • Mississippi
  • Missouri
  • Montana
  • Nebraska
  • Nevada
  • New Hampshire
  • New Jersey
  • New Mexico
  • New York
  • North Carolina
  • North Dakota: At-large seat race rated Solid Republican
  • Ohio
  • Oklahoma
  • Oregon
  • Pennsylvania
  • Rhode Island
  • South Carolina
  • South Dakota: At-large seat race rated Solid Republican
  • Tennessee
  • Texas
  • Utah
  • Vermont: At-large seat race rated Solid Democratic
  • Virginia
  • Washington
  • West Virginia
  • Wisconsin
  • Wyoming: At-large seat race rated Solid Republican

Nathan L. Gonzales is an elections analyst with CQ Roll Call.